Ohio

SenateD+1.7

U.S. House · projectedD 6 · R 9

GovernorD+1.4

2024 presidentR+11.2

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Sherrod Brown ahead of Jon Husted by D+1.7, with a 62 in 100 chance to win. Governor: Amy Acton ahead of Vivek Ramaswamy by D+1.4, with a 59 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 6 of the state's 15 districts and Republicans in 9.

Closest races

GovernorFlipAmy Acton vs. Vivek RamaswamyTilt DD+1.4 OH-09Derek Merrin vs. Marcy KapturTilt DD+1.6 U.S. SenateFlipSherrod Brown vs. Jon HustedTilt DD+1.7 OH-07FlipBrian Poindexter vs. Max MillerLean DD+2.9

Projected delegation: D 6 · R 9

OH-01Greg Landsman vs. Eric ConroyLikely DD+5.4 OH-02David Taylor vs. Jennifer MazzuckelliSolid RR+33.7 OH-03Joyce Beatty vs. Cleophus DulaneySolid DD+44.7 OH-04Jim Jordan vs. Joshua KolasinskiSolid RR+34.2 OH-05Bob Latta vs. Brian ShaverSolid RR+17.6 OH-06Michael Rulli vs. Elizabeth KirtleySolid RR+27.0 OH-07FlipBrian Poindexter vs. Max MillerLean DD+2.9 OH-08Warren Davidson vs. Vanessa EnochLikely RR+10.5 OH-09Derek Merrin vs. Marcy KapturTilt DD+1.6 OH-10Mike Turner vs. Kristina KnickerbockerLean RR+3.4 OH-11Shontel Brown vs. Mike KirchnerSolid DD+57.5 OH-12Troy Balderson vs. Jerrad ChristianSolid RR+23.1 OH-13Emilia Sykes vs. Carey ColemanLikely DD+12.5 OH-14David Joyce vs. Maria JukicSolid RR+14.6 OH-15Mike Carey vs. Don LeonardLean RR+3.1