Senate
Chance of D control98 in 100
Democrats are favored to hold control. Democrats hold 23 of 35 seats today.
Expected Democratic seats 23.0 of 35 · 80% range 20–26
See all 35 districts →One state, every federal race and the provisional balance of power in its capitol.
Counties colored by the projected margin — the 2024 result shifted by the state's projected swing, summing exactly to the forecast above. Hover a county for its numbers.
| El Paso | 132,819 (45.0%) | 154,538 (52.4%) | R+7.4 | 295,028 |
| Denver | 219,952 (78.2%) | 54,022 (19.2%) | D+59.0 | 281,287 |
| Jefferson | 167,031 (59.6%) | 105,756 (37.8%) | D+21.9 | 280,069 |
| Arapahoe | 152,750 (60.6%) | 92,832 (36.8%) | D+23.8 | 252,138 |
| Douglas | 87,905 (46.5%) | 96,032 (50.9%) | R+4.3 | 188,847 |
| Adams | 100,136 (55.4%) | 75,937 (42.0%) | D+13.4 | 180,773 |
| Larimer | 102,338 (58.6%) | 67,808 (38.8%) | D+19.8 | 174,688 |
| Boulder | 117,778 (77.5%) | 30,235 (19.9%) | D+57.6 | 151,964 |
| Weld | 55,528 (39.9%) | 80,188 (57.5%) | R+17.7 | 139,339 |
| Mesa | 26,591 (37.5%) | 42,530 (59.9%) | R+22.5 | 70,966 |
| Pueblo | 31,838 (48.3%) | 32,383 (49.1%) | R+0.8 | 65,935 |
| Broomfield | 23,243 (64.1%) | 12,085 (33.3%) | D+30.8 | 36,271 |
| La Plata | 16,371 (59.2%) | 10,553 (38.2%) | D+21.0 | 27,643 |
| Garfield | 12,031 (51.1%) | 10,887 (46.3%) | D+4.9 | 23,530 |
| Eagle | 13,520 (62.8%) | 7,456 (34.6%) | D+28.2 | 21,536 |
| Montrose | 6,608 (33.3%) | 12,722 (64.1%) | R+30.8 | 19,846 |
| Fremont | 6,017 (30.5%) | 13,200 (66.9%) | R+36.4 | 19,730 |
| Elbert | 3,843 (24.3%) | 11,564 (73.1%) | R+48.8 | 15,818 |
| Delta | 4,822 (32.0%) | 9,875 (65.4%) | R+33.5 | 15,089 |
| Summit | 9,343 (68.7%) | 3,894 (28.7%) | D+40.1 | 13,590 |
| Routt | 8,072 (63.8%) | 4,254 (33.6%) | D+30.2 | 12,655 |
| Teller | 4,072 (32.2%) | 8,247 (65.2%) | R+33.0 | 12,648 |
| Montezuma | 4,616 (39.4%) | 6,805 (58.0%) | R+18.7 | 11,726 |
| Chaffee | 6,304 (56.4%) | 4,575 (41.0%) | D+15.5 | 11,169 |
| Morgan | 2,737 (26.3%) | 7,418 (71.1%) | R+44.9 | 10,426 |
| Park | 3,889 (41.7%) | 5,199 (55.7%) | R+14.0 | 9,331 |
| Pitkin | 6,280 (72.6%) | 2,146 (24.8%) | D+47.8 | 8,651 |
| Gunnison | 5,487 (64.7%) | 2,768 (32.7%) | D+32.1 | 8,475 |
| Logan | 1,692 (21.5%) | 5,976 (75.9%) | R+54.4 | 7,873 |
| Grand | 3,794 (49.5%) | 3,664 (47.9%) | D+1.7 | 7,657 |
| Archuleta | 3,103 (42.8%) | 3,957 (54.6%) | R+11.8 | 7,248 |
| Otero | 2,573 (37.2%) | 4,161 (60.2%) | R+23.0 | 6,914 |
| Las Animas | 2,639 (43.7%) | 3,241 (53.7%) | R+10.0 | 6,037 |
| Alamosa | 2,655 (45.6%) | 3,019 (51.8%) | R+6.2 | 5,825 |
| Moffat | 934 (18.1%) | 4,100 (79.3%) | R+61.2 | 5,168 |
| Rio Grande | 1,870 (39.0%) | 2,804 (58.4%) | R+19.5 | 4,799 |
| Clear Creek | 2,740 (58.0%) | 1,864 (39.4%) | D+18.5 | 4,727 |
| Prowers | 1,002 (25.1%) | 2,879 (72.2%) | R+47.1 | 3,985 |
| San Miguel | 2,785 (74.8%) | 840 (22.6%) | D+52.3 | 3,722 |
| Yuma | 605 (16.7%) | 2,914 (80.7%) | R+63.9 | 3,613 |
| Huerfano | 1,595 (46.4%) | 1,754 (51.0%) | R+4.6 | 3,438 |
| Gilpin | 1,794 (56.1%) | 1,322 (41.3%) | D+14.7 | 3,199 |
| Conejos | 1,337 (42.0%) | 1,760 (55.3%) | R+13.3 | 3,180 |
| Ouray | 1,916 (60.3%) | 1,176 (37.0%) | D+23.3 | 3,175 |
| Lake | 1,781 (58.8%) | 1,170 (38.6%) | D+20.2 | 3,030 |
| Custer | 951 (31.7%) | 1,967 (65.7%) | R+33.9 | 2,996 |
| Kit Carson | 458 (16.0%) | 2,333 (81.4%) | R+65.4 | 2,865 |
| Rio Blanco | 499 (17.5%) | 2,286 (80.0%) | R+62.5 | 2,859 |
| Saguache | 1,393 (52.9%) | 1,173 (44.5%) | D+8.4 | 2,634 |
| Washington | 265 (12.2%) | 1,852 (85.2%) | R+73.0 | 2,174 |
| Lincoln | 351 (17.6%) | 1,589 (79.8%) | R+62.2 | 1,992 |
| Phillips | 340 (18.6%) | 1,437 (78.8%) | R+60.1 | 1,824 |
| Bent | 527 (31.1%) | 1,125 (66.3%) | R+35.3 | 1,696 |
| Costilla | 941 (58.4%) | 628 (39.0%) | D+19.4 | 1,611 |
| Baca | 223 (14.4%) | 1,290 (83.1%) | R+68.7 | 1,553 |
| Crowley | 342 (25.9%) | 946 (71.6%) | R+45.6 | 1,322 |
| Dolores | 260 (23.7%) | 810 (73.7%) | R+50.0 | 1,099 |
| Sedgwick | 227 (21.6%) | 798 (75.9%) | R+54.3 | 1,052 |
| Cheyenne | 88 (10.8%) | 708 (86.7%) | R+75.8 | 817 |
| Kiowa | 80 (12.0%) | 572 (85.5%) | R+73.4 | 669 |
| Jackson | 139 (21.5%) | 490 (75.9%) | R+54.3 | 646 |
| Mineral | 252 (43.2%) | 316 (54.2%) | R+10.8 | 583 |
| Hinsdale | 204 (43.5%) | 253 (53.9%) | R+10.5 | 469 |
| San Juan | 300 (65.8%) | 144 (31.6%) | D+34.1 | 456 |
Model benchmark — the 2024 result shifted by the state's projected swing, summing exactly to the forecast.
Counties colored by the projected margin — the 2024 result shifted by the state's projected swing, summing exactly to the forecast above. Hover a county for its numbers.
Both chambers carry the Call the Map state legislature forecast — the same model the Chamber Board publishes.
Democrats are favored to hold control. Democrats hold 23 of 35 seats today.
Expected Democratic seats 23.0 of 35 · 80% range 20–26
See all 35 districts →Democrats are favored to hold control. Democrats hold 43 of 65 seats today.
Expected Democratic seats 43.1 of 65 · 80% range 39–47
See all 65 districts →Chamber-by-chamber detail for every state lives on the full Chamber Board. Control today: NCSL · 2026 State & Legislative Partisan Composition · Jan. 27, 2026
Counties colored by the actual 2024 presidential result — counted votes, not a projection. Hover a county for its numbers.
The county tables and shift arrows across this site measure against these baselines. No president is on the 2026 ballot; this is the reference line every other race here is measured against.
Ballot measures — coming with the Ballotpedia layer.
Trifecta nowDemocratic trifecta
| Chamber | Now | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Senate | D | D |
| House | D | D |