Virginia

SenateD+22.8

U.S. House · projectedD 8 · R 3

GovernorNo 2026 race

2024 presidentD+5.8

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Mark Warner ahead of Bert Mizusawa by D+22.8, with a 99 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 8 of the state's 11 districts and Republicans in 3.

Closest races

VA-01Shannon Taylor vs. Rob WittmanToss-upTied VA-02FlipElaine Luria vs. Jen KiggansLean DD+2.5 VA-05John McGuire vs. Tom PerrielloLean RR+5.0 VA-07Eugene Vindman vs. Doug OllivantSolid DD+15.5

Projected delegation: D 8 · R 3

VA-01Shannon Taylor vs. Rob WittmanToss-upTied VA-02FlipElaine Luria vs. Jen KiggansLean DD+2.5 VA-03Bobby Scott vs. Edwin RiveraSolid DD+44.1 VA-04Jennifer McClellan vs. Robert MurraySolid DD+41.3 VA-05John McGuire vs. Tom PerrielloLean RR+5.0 VA-06Ben Cline vs. Beth MacySolid RR+23.4 VA-07Eugene Vindman vs. Doug OllivantSolid DD+15.5 VA-08Don Beyer vs. Tony SabioSolid DD+53.7 VA-09Morgan Griffith vs. Joy PowersSolid RR+31.1 VA-10Suhas Subramanyam vs. Dave BeckwithSolid DD+18.8 VA-11James Walkinshaw vs. Arthur PurvesSolid DD+41.7