South Carolina

SenateR+4.3

U.S. House · projectedD 1 · R 6

GovernorR+14.0

2024 presidentR+17.9

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Darline Graham ahead of Annie Andrews by R+4.3, with a 77 in 100 chance to win. Governor: Alan Wilson ahead of Jermaine Johnson by R+14.0, with a 97 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 1 of the state's 7 districts and Republicans in 6.

Closest races

SC-01Jenny Costa Honeycutt vs. Nancy LacoreLean RR+3.0 U.S. SenateAnnie Andrews vs. Darline GrahamLean RR+4.3 SC-02Joe Wilson vs. Zyon KhalifaLikely RR+10.7 GovernorJermaine Johnson vs. Alan WilsonLikely RR+14.0

Projected delegation: D 1 · R 6

SC-01Jenny Costa Honeycutt vs. Nancy LacoreLean RR+3.0 SC-02Joe Wilson vs. Zyon KhalifaLikely RR+10.7 SC-03Sheri Biggs vs. Eunice LehmacherSolid RR+34.4 SC-04William Timmons vs. Courtney McClainSolid RR+16.4 SC-05Wes Climer vs. Mallory DittmerLikely RR+14.5 SC-06Jim Clyburn vs. John PetersonSolid DD+28.4 SC-07Russell Fry vs. John VincentSolid RR+16.2