South Carolina Senate polls
Annie Andrews (D) vs Darline Graham (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateR+4.9same figure as the race page
Polls77 recorded polls · 7 eligible for the aggregate · 6 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 9Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-09 (4 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- weighted running average · recent, larger and non-partisan polls count more · gaps where polls run thin
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 7
newest first6 in the aggregate · 1 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●InsiderAdvantageGeneral · Senate | 1,200 LV | Darline Graham 45.1Annie Andrews 43.2+1 other release | 2d ago | 0.828 | Poll release | |
| ●Abacus DataGeneral | 306 LV | Darline Graham 51Annie Andrews 38Don't know 8Someone else 3+1 other release | 0.232 | Poll release | ||
| ●Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 700 LV | Darline Graham 41Annie Andrews 41Don't know 13Kasie Whitener 5 | 0.265 | Poll document | ||
| Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 577 RV | Annie Andrews 42Russell Fry 39Don't know 20+8 other releases | not in the aggregate | Poll release | ||
| ●Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 700 LV | Lindsey Graham 48Annie Andrews 45Don't know 7 | 0.033 | Poll release | ||
| ●Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 700 LV | Lindsey Graham 47Annie Andrews 42Don't know 11 | 0.001 | Poll document | ||
| ●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 704 RV | Lindsey Graham 42Annie Andrews 36+1 other release | 0 · not counted | News coverage |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.