Iowa

SenateR+0.9

U.S. House · projectedD 2 · R 2

GovernorD+6.3

2024 presidentR+13.3

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Ashley Hinson ahead of Josh Turek by R+0.9, with a 57 in 100 chance to win. Governor: Rob Sand ahead of Zach Lahn by D+6.3, with an 84 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 2 of the state's 4 districts and Republicans in 2.

Closest races

IA-02Joe Mitchell vs. Lindsay JamesToss-upD+0.3 IA-03Zach Nunn vs. Sarah Trone GarriottTilt RR+0.8 U.S. SenateJosh Turek vs. Ashley HinsonTilt RR+0.9 GovernorFlipRob Sand vs. Zach LahnLean DD+6.3

Projected delegation: D 2 · R 2

IA-01FlipChristina Bohannan vs. Mariannette Miller-MeeksLikely DD+8.6 IA-02Joe Mitchell vs. Lindsay JamesToss-upD+0.3 IA-03Zach Nunn vs. Sarah Trone GarriottTilt RR+0.8 IA-04Chris McGowan vs. David DawsonSolid RR+20.3