New Jersey

SenateD+24.5

U.S. House · projectedD 10 · R 2

GovernorNo 2026 race

2024 presidentD+5.9

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Cory Booker ahead of Justin Murphy by D+24.5, with a 99 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 10 of the state's 12 districts and Republicans in 2.

Closest races

NJ-07FlipRebecca Bennett vs. Thomas Kean Jr.Lean DD+4.3 NJ-02Jeff Van Drew vs. Zack MullockLikely RR+9.8 NJ-09Nellie Pou vs. Rosie PinoSolid DD+14.3 NJ-05Josh Gottheimer vs. Sean KirraneSolid DD+17.9

Projected delegation: D 10 · R 2

NJ-01Donald Norcross vs. Damon GaldoSolid DD+28.3 NJ-02Jeff Van Drew vs. Zack MullockLikely RR+9.8 NJ-03Herb Conaway vs. Michael McGuireSolid DD+20.2 NJ-04Chris Smith vs. Rachel PeaceSolid RR+20.5 NJ-05Josh Gottheimer vs. Sean KirraneSolid DD+17.9 NJ-06Frank Pallone vs. Hillary HerzigSolid DD+21.8 NJ-07FlipRebecca Bennett vs. Thomas Kean Jr.Lean DD+4.3 NJ-08Rob MenendezSolid DD+34.5 NJ-09Nellie Pou vs. Rosie PinoSolid DD+14.3 NJ-10LaMonica McIver vs. Carmen BuccoSolid DD+56.1 NJ-11Analilia Mejia vs. Joe HathawaySolid DD+22.6 NJ-12Adam Hamawy vs. Gregg MeleSolid DD+30.1