South Carolina Governor polls 2026
Jermaine Johnson (D) vs Alan Wilson (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
The polls and the poll average
drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its pollOct 28, 2026R+10.5today's poll average of 9 polls
- poll in the average · area is its weight
- trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.
Data table
| Days | Average as it stood | Trend line |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | R+10.5 | R+10.5 |
| Oct 26–Oct 27, 2026 | R+10.5 | R+10.5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | R+11.1 | R+10.5 |
| Oct 18–Oct 24, 2026 | R+11.5 | R+10.9 to R+10.6 |
| Oct 16–Oct 17, 2026 | R+9.2 | R+11.0 |
| Oct 3–Oct 15, 2026 | R+8.7 | R+8.8 to R+11.1 |
| Aug 15–Oct 2, 2026 | R+7.4 | R+7.4 to R+8.7 |
| Jul 17–Aug 14, 2026 | R+8.0 | R+8.0 to R+7.4 |
In governor races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+10.2.
Every poll on file · 9
newest added first9 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●The New York Times/Siena CollegeGeneral | 707 LV | R+6.7Alan Wilson 50.97Jermaine Johnson 44.24Don't know 4.61Someone else 0.18 | 19h ago | 0.71 | News coverage | |
| ●The Citadel School of Humanities and Social SciencesGeneral | 890 LV | R+11.0Alan Wilson 42Jermaine Johnson 31 | 1d ago | 0.78 | Poll release | |
| ●The Citadel School of Humanities and Social SciencesGeneral | 890 LV | R+11.0Alan Wilson 42Jermaine Johnson 31Don't know 26Walid Hakim 0Michael Addison 0+1 other release | 1d ago | 0.78 | Poll release | |
| ●Targoz Market ResearchGeneral | 895 LV | R+10.0Alan Wilson 51Jermaine Johnson 41Don't know 5Michael Addison 1Walid Hakim 1 | 2d ago | 0.79 | Poll release | |
| ●Trafalgar GroupGeneral · Governor · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 1,095 LV | R+16.0Alan Wilson 52.5Jermaine Johnson 36.5Michael Addison 4.2Walid Hakim 1.6 | 7d ago | 0.80 | Poll release | |
| ●National Public AffairsGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 604 LV | R+10.0Alan Wilson 51Jermaine Johnson 41Don't know 7Michael Addison 1Walid Hakim 1 | 0.58 | Poll document | ||
| ●Resonance MediaGeneral | 638 RV | R+10.0Alan Wilson 45Jermaine Johnson 35 | 0.52 | Poll document | ||
| ●Hart Research AssociatesGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 600 LV | R+7.0Alan Wilson 48Jermaine Johnson 41 | 0.28 | Poll release | ||
| ●Public Policy PollingGeneral · Governor · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 577 LV | R+8.0Alan Wilson 45Jermaine Johnson 37+1 other release | 0.20 | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.