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FORECAST51 DAYS OUT
Race polling · SEN-OH

Ohio Senate polls

Sherrod Brown (D) vs Jon Husted (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateD+4.1same figure as the race page
Polls2020 recorded polls · 20 eligible for the aggregate · 17 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 9Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-09 (4 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+10R+5EVEND+5D+10Apr ’25JulOctJan ’26AprJulOct
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 27

newest first

27 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedAddedSampleResultWeightSource
InsiderAdvantageGeneral · Senate1,200 LVSherrod Brown 47.3Jon Husted 41.9+1 other release2d ago0.828Poll release
Abacus DataGeneral306 LVSherrod Brown 46Jon Husted 41Don't know 11Someone else 2+1 other release0.232Poll release
Wedgewood PollsGeneral · Senate800 LVSherrod Brown 48Jon Husted 44+1 other release0.228Poll document
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchGeneral · Senate1,008 RVSherrod Brown 53Jon Husted 450.280News coverage
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchGeneral1,008 RVSherrod Brown 53Jon Husted 45Don't know 2Would not vote 0None/other 00.280News coverage
Tulchin ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan600 LVSherrod Brown 47Jon Husted 43Don't know 6Gregory Levy 2Bill Redpath 20.147Poll release
The New York Times/Siena CollegeGeneral · Senate601 LVJon Husted 50Sherrod Brown 47+1 other release0.057News coverage
Fabrizio Ward/Impact ResearchGeneral · Senate800 LVSherrod Brown 48Jon Husted 45+1 other release0.034Poll release
Tulchin ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan600 LVSherrod Brown 46Jon Husted 42Don't know 7Bill Redpath 40.020Pollster post
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchGeneral · Senate1,015 RVSherrod Brown 53Jon Husted 450.028Poll document
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchGeneral1,015 RVSherrod Brown 53Jon Husted 450.028News coverage
Bowling Green State University/YouGovGeneral · Senate1,000 RVJon Husted 50Sherrod Brown 470.005Poll release

Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.