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Forecast5 days out
Race polling · SEN-OH

Ohio Senate polls 2026

Sherrod Brown (D) vs Jon Husted (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageD+3.4the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls4343 on file · 40 in the poll average · 3 not counted
Latest field dateOct 26Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-26 (3 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026D+3.4today's poll average of 40 polls

R+10R+5EvenD+5D+10D+15Oct ’25Jan ’26AprJulOct
  • poll in the average · area is its weight
  • not counted · shown, never moves the line
  • trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
  • left of the break: 2 earlier polls, not on the time axis

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table
DaysAverage as it stoodTrend line
Oct 28, 2026D+3.4D+3.4
Oct 26–Oct 27, 2026D+3.4D+3.4
Oct 23–Oct 25, 2026D+3.4D+3.4
Oct 22, 2026D+3.6D+3.4
Oct 20–Oct 21, 2026D+3.6D+3.4
Oct 19, 2026D+3.6D+3.4
Oct 18, 2026D+3.5D+3.5
Oct 14–Oct 17, 2026D+3.8D+3.5
Oct 13, 2026D+4.0D+3.6
Oct 9–Oct 12, 2026D+3.8D+3.7 to D+3.6
Oct 6–Oct 8, 2026D+3.7D+3.8 to D+3.7
Oct 5, 2026D+4.1D+3.8
Oct 1–Oct 4, 2026D+3.9D+3.8
Sep 30, 2026D+3.9D+3.8
Sep 29, 2026D+3.9D+3.9
Sep 27–Sep 28, 2026D+4.1D+3.9
Sep 23–Sep 26, 2026D+3.7D+4.0 to D+3.9
Sep 16–Sep 22, 2026D+4.2D+4.0
Sep 10–Sep 15, 2026D+4.3D+4.3 to D+4.1
Sep 9, 2026D+4.6D+4.3
Aug 31–Sep 8, 2026D+4.3D+4.4 to D+4.3
Aug 28–Aug 30, 2026D+3.1D+4.2 to D+4.3
Aug 10–Aug 27, 2026D+2.8D+2.8 to D+4.1
Aug 4–Aug 9, 2026D+1.8D+2.1 to D+2.7
Jun 28–Aug 3, 2026D+1.5D+1.5 to D+1.9
Jun 16–Jun 27, 2026D+2.5D+2.4 to D+1.6
Jun 4–Jun 15, 2026D+2.3D+2.3 to D+2.4
Jun 1–Jun 3, 2026D+1.9D+2.3
Apr 14–May 31, 2026R+1.1R+1.1 to D+2.2
Apr 9–Apr 13, 2026R+0.5R+0.9 to R+1.1
Mar 14–Apr 8, 2026D+1.1D+1.1 to R+0.9
Mar 8–Mar 13, 2026D+2.0D+1.4 to D+1.1
Feb 22–Mar 7, 2026D+2.1D+2.1 to D+1.5
Dec 8–Feb 21, 2026R+1.8R+1.8 to D+2.0
Oct 14–Dec 7, 2025R+1.5R+1.5 to R+1.8
Aug 19–Oct 13, 2025R+5.8R+5.8 to R+1.5

In Senate races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at a quarter of its weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.

Every poll on file · 43

newest added first

40 in the poll average · 3 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
●Concord Public Opinion PartnersGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan504 LVD+10.0Sherrod Brown 50Jon Husted 40Don't know 7Someone else 40.31Poll release
●Suffolk UniversityGeneral500 LVD+2.8Sherrod Brown 46.6Jon Husted 43.8Don't know 6.4Gregory Levy 1.6Bill Redpath 1.618h ago0.59Poll release
●Echelon InsightsGeneral508 LVTiedSherrod Brown 47Jon Husted 47Don't know 3Gregory Levy 2Someone else 1Bill Redpath 1Would not vote 01d ago0.58Poll release
●RedBox ResearchGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan2,998 LVD+3.0Sherrod Brown 47Jon Husted 442d ago0.94Poll release
●InsiderAdvantageGeneral1,200 LVD+2.3Sherrod Brown 46.7Jon Husted 44.4Don't know 5.8Gregory Levy 1.7Bill Redpath 1.45d ago0.88Poll release
●Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchGeneral1,592 LVD+5.0Sherrod Brown 52Jon Husted 47Don't know 2Would not vote 0Someone else 0+1 other release6d ago0.90News coverage
●New River Strategies/GS Strategy GroupGeneral959 LVD+6.0Sherrod Brown 49Jon Husted 43Gregory Levy 4Bill Redpath 3Don't know 16d ago0.71Poll release
●VerasightGeneral531 LVD+3.9Sherrod Brown 47.5Jon Husted 43.6Don't know 6.2Bill Redpath 1.1Gregory Levy 1+1 other release6d ago0.57Poll release
●Marist UniversityGeneral · Senate1,176 LVD+4.0Sherrod Brown 48Jon Husted 44+1 other release0.83Poll release
●Rasmussen ReportsGeneral · R sponsor · R partisan901 LVR+2.0Jon Husted 49Sherrod Brown 470.69Poll release
●ActiVoteGeneral400 LVR+0.4Jon Husted 50.2Sherrod Brown 49.80.48Poll release
●Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGovGeneral1,000 LVD+6.0Sherrod Brown 48Jon Husted 42Gregory Levy 5Bill Redpath 3Someone else 20.69Poll release

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.