Oklahoma Senate polls 2026
N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas (D) vs Kevin Hern (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+24.0the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls11 on file · 1 in the poll average
Latest field dateAug 6Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-06 (83 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
one poll countedThe poll average is one poll: Cole Hargrave, fielded through Aug 6, 2026, at R+24.0. With a single poll there is no trend to draw; it is listed below.
In Senate races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at a quarter of its weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.
Every poll on file · 1
newest added first1 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Cole HargraveGeneral | 500 RV | R+24.0Kevin Hern 49N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas 25Don't know 19Curtis Stinnett 4Sevier White 3Ron Meinhardt 1+1 other release | 0.23 | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.