Illinois Governor polls 2026
JB Pritzker (D) vs Darren Bailey (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+18.7the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls33 on file · 3 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 22Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-22 (6 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
3 polls countedThe poll average, D+18.7, is of three polls, which run from D+17.4 to D+20.3. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In governor races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.
Every poll on file · 3
newest added first3 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●ActiVoteGeneral · Governor | 400 LV | D+17.4JB Pritzker 58.7Darren Bailey 41.3 | 6d ago | 0.51 | Poll release | |
| ●Public Policy PollingGeneral · Governor · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 569 LV | D+20.0JB Pritzker 54Darren Bailey 34Collin Corbett 6+1 other release | 0.48 | Poll release | ||
| ●Victory ResearchGeneral | 1,200 LV | D+20.3JB Pritzker 54.3Darren Bailey 34 | 0.02 | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.