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FORECAST55 DAYS OUT
Race polling · GOV-MI

Michigan Governor polls

Jocelyn Benson (D) vs John James (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateD+6.8same figure as the race page
Polls2828 recorded polls · 28 eligible for the aggregate · 24 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 3Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-03 (6 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+10R+5EVEND+5D+10D+15D+20Apr ’25JulOctJan ’26AprJulOct
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • trailing 30-day average
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 28

newest first

27 in the aggregate · 1 shown, not counted · 37 primary polls on file, not listed here

PollsterFieldedSampleResultWeightSource
Glengariff GroupGeneral600 LVJocelyn Benson 47John James 43Don't know/Someone else 100.547Poll release
EPIC-MRAGeneral600 LVJocelyn Benson 45John James 41Don't know 14+1 other release0.431Poll release
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovGeneral · Governor779 LVJocelyn Benson 52John James 43+1 other release0.324Poll release
Fabrizio Ward/Impact ResearchGeneral877 LVJocelyn Benson 49John James 44Don't know 6Someone else 10.255Poll release
TIPP InsightsGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan1,215 LVJocelyn Benson 53.02John James 36.55Someone else 5.42Don't know 5.01+1 other release0.492Poll release
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchGeneral1,006 RVJocelyn Benson 52John James 47Don't know 1Would not vote 0Someone else 00.319News coverage
EPIC-MRAGeneral600 LVJocelyn Benson 47John James 38+2 other releases0.171Pollster post
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsGeneral672 LVJocelyn Benson 48Perry Johnson 43Don't know 9+3 other releases0.170Poll document
Glengariff GroupGeneral600 LVJocelyn Benson 43.7John James 38.7Don't know 16Someone else 1.6+5 other releases0.141Poll release
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsGeneral827 LVJocelyn Benson 48Mike Cox 41Don't know 12+2 other releases0.041Poll release
TIPP InsightsGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan1,163 LVJocelyn Benson 48.93John James 38.03Don't know 7.04Someone else 6+3 other releases0.035Poll release
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsGeneral606 LVJocelyn Benson 42John James 30Don't know 15Mike Duggan 13+2 other releases0.010Poll release

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.