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Forecast6 days out
Race polling · SEN-AL

Alabama Senate polls 2026

Everett Wess (D) vs Barry Moore (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageR+14.1the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls77 on file · 6 in the poll average · 1 not counted
Latest field dateOct 24Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-24 (4 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026R+14.1today's poll average of 6 polls

R+25R+20R+15R+10R+5EvenD+5Aug ’26SepOct
  • poll in the average · area is its weight
  • trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table
The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
DaysAverage as it stoodTrend line
Oct 28, 2026R+14.1R+14.1
Oct 24–Oct 27, 2026R+14.1R+14.1
Oct 17–Oct 23, 2026R+18.6R+15.9 to R+14.2
Oct 16, 2026R+20.1R+16.4
Sep 25–Oct 15, 2026R+19.4R+19.4 to R+16.9
Jul 11–Sep 24, 2026R+15.0R+15.0 to R+19.4

In Senate races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at a quarter of its weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+14.3.

Every poll on file · 7

newest added first

6 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
●Chism StrategiesGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan695 LVR+8.0Barry Moore 48Everett Wess 4022m ago0.69Poll release
●Blueprint PollingGeneral695 LVR+8.3Barry Moore 47.8Everett Wess 39.5Don't know 12.72h ago0.69Poll release
●CygnalGeneral500 LVR+14.8Barry Moore 49.8Everett Wess 35Don't know 15.36d ago0.54Poll release
●The Alabama PollGeneral · Senate600 LVR+21.0Barry Moore 56Everett Wess 350.58Poll release
●RMG ResearchGeneral · Senate · REP sponsor · REP partisan800 RVR+21.0Barry Moore 54Everett Wess 330.53Poll release
yes. every kid.General · Senate601 LVR+15.0Barry Moore 47Everett Wess 32counted once · listed twicePoll release
●yes. every kid. foundation.General601 LVR+15.0Barry Moore 47Everett Wess 32Don't know 20Someone else 10.19Poll release

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.