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FORECAST51 DAYS OUT
Race polling · GOV-AL

Alabama Governor polls

Doug Jones (D) vs Tommy Tuberville (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateR+8.2same figure as the race page
Polls22 recorded polls · 2 eligible for the aggregate · 2 with positive weight
Latest field dateJul 11Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-07-11 (64 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+20R+15R+10R+5EVEND+5Nov ’25Jan ’26MarMayJulSep
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 3

newest first

3 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedAddedSampleResultWeightSource
yes. every kid.General · Governor601 LVTommy Tuberville 49Doug Jones 410.067Poll release
yes. every kid. foundation.General601 LVTommy Tuberville 49Doug Jones 41Don't know 11Someone else 00.067Poll release
CygnalGeneral · Governor · REP sponsor · REP partisan605 LVTommy Tuberville 53Doug Jones 34+1 other release0.000Poll document

Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.