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FORECAST55 DAYS OUT
Race polling · GOV-NY

New York Governor polls

Kathy Hochul (D) vs Bruce Blakeman (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateD+9.9same figure as the race page
Polls2020 recorded polls · 20 eligible for the aggregate · 19 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 31Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-31 (9 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysEVEND+10D+20D+30Jul ’25OctJan ’26AprJul
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • trailing 30-day average
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 40

newest first

26 in the aggregate · 14 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedSampleResultWeightSource
●McLaughlin & AssociatesGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan800 LVKathy Hochul 49.6Bruce Blakeman 45.7Don't know 4.70.343News coverage
●Concord Public Opinion PartnersGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan505 LVKathy Hochul 50Bruce Blakeman 34Don't know 11Someone else 5+1 other release0.270News coverage
●Siena UniversityGeneral811 LVKathy Hochul 49Bruce Blakeman 39Don't know 11Someone else 1+1 other release0.237Poll release
●Red Oak StrategicGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan2,000 RVKathy Hochul 47Bruce Blakeman 43Don't know 10+1 other release0.143News coverage
●co/efficientGeneral1,085 LVKathy Hochul 47Bruce Blakeman 41Don't know 12+1 other release0.068News coverage
●Siena UniversityGeneral1,120 RVKathy Hochul 52Bruce Blakeman 32Don't know 15Someone else 1+1 other release0.065Poll release
●Siena UniversityGeneral806 RVKathy Hochul 49Bruce Blakeman 33Don't know 16Someone else 3+1 other release0.009Poll release
●Siena UniversityGeneral804 RVKathy Hochul 47Bruce Blakeman 34Don't know 16Someone else 30.003Poll release
●Echelon InsightsGeneral500 LVKathy Hochul 55Bruce Blakeman 40Don't know 60.003News coverage
●McLaughlin & AssociatesGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan800 LVKathy Hochul 52Bruce Blakeman 43Don't know 50.001News coverage
●Siena UniversityGeneral805 RVKathy Hochul 51Bruce Blakeman 31Don't know 15Someone else 30.001Poll release
●Marist UniversityGeneral1,442 RVKathy Hochul 50Bruce Blakeman 33Don't know 15Generic Candidate 20.001Poll release

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.