Maryland Governor polls 2026
Wes Moore (D) vs Dan Cox (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+27.0the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls77 on file · 3 in the poll average · 4 not counted
Latest field dateSep 27Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-27 (31 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
3 polls countedThe poll average, D+27.0, is of three polls, all at D+27.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In governor races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+26.6.
Every poll on file · 7
newest added first3 in the poll average · 4 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Maryland Baltimore County Institute of PoliticsGeneral · Governor | 776 LV | D+27.0Wes Moore 51Dan Cox 24Andy Ellis 3Cathy White 3 | counted once · listed twice | Poll document | ||
| ●University of Maryland, Baltimore CountyGeneral | 776 LV | D+27.0Wes Moore 51Dan Cox 24 | 0.50 | Poll document | ||
| ●UMBC Institute of PoliticsGeneral | 776 LV | D+27.0Wes Moore 51Dan Cox 24Don't know 15Someone else 5Cathy White 3Andy Ellis 3 | 0.53 | Poll document | ||
| ●Zenith ResearchGeneral · Governor · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 800 LV | D+27.0Wes Moore 58Dan Cox 31 | 0.29 | Poll release | ||
| Gonzales ResearchGeneral | 808 LV | D+21.9Wes Moore 49.9Generic Republican 28Don't know 16.3Someone else 5.8 | tests a different matchup | Poll release | ||
| University of Maryland Baltimore CountyGeneral | 757 RV | D+20.0Wes Moore 49Generic Republican 29Generic Candidate 12Don't know 10 | tests a different matchup | Poll document | ||
| OpinionWorksGeneral | 928 RV | Wes Moore 45Larry Hogan 37Don't know 14 | tests a different matchup | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.