Maryland Governor polls
Wes Moore (D) vs Dan Cox (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateD+24.1same figure as the race page
Polls11 recorded poll · 1 eligible for the aggregate · 1 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 3Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-03 (41 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 4
newest first1 in the aggregate · 3 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Zenith ResearchGeneral · Governor · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 800 LV | Wes Moore 58Dan Cox 31+1 other release | 0.164 | Poll release | ||
| Gonzales ResearchGeneral | 808 LV | Wes Moore 49.9Generic Republican 28Don't know 16.3Someone else 5.8 | not in the aggregate | Poll release | ||
| University of Maryland Baltimore CountyGeneral | 757 RV | Wes Moore 49Generic Republican 29Generic Candidate 12Don't know 10 | not in the aggregate | Poll document | ||
| OpinionWorksGeneral | 928 RV | Wes Moore 45Larry Hogan 37Don't know 14 | not in the aggregate | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.