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Forecast · r64-20260730-236b8cdd42f0 · as of 2026-07-30

The House · CA-37

Samantha MotaDem.
CA-37 · California
Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyDistrict locator

No county projection here: this is a same-party general, so there is no Democratic-vs-Republican margin to project onto counties.

State of the race

November's certified top-two field is Sydney Kamlager-Dove (Dem.) and Samantha Mota (Dem.). Call the Map does not publish candidate-specific shares or win odds for this non-D-vs-R matchup.

Seat
Dem.-held · projected hold
Forecast range
D+14.9 to D+36.0

Both November candidates are Democrats; the seat is certain for the party. The current two-party model does not assign candidate shares, win odds, or a margin decomposition to this field.

Recent polling

No candidate-specific poll average is published for this certified field. Call the Map does not convert a two-party D/R model into candidate odds for this matchup.

Money & Ads

Money in this race

Explore all spending →
FEC committee activity

Direct PAC support

$355.4K · 218 transactions
  • Sydney Kamlager-DoveNot on the ballot$355.4K

Direct PAC totals include governed committee contributions and in-kind contributions. Campaign-video embeds are metadata-only editorial context from exact, reviewed channels; inclusion does not establish paid placement. Outside spending and campaign videos have zero forecast weight; direct PAC activity is reporting only.

On the same ballot in California