CA-37 · U.S. House
Sydney Kamlager-Dove is almost certain to win. Projected candidate margin: Sydney Kamlager-Dove over Samantha Mota by 65.2 points. No two-party forecast is published for this race: November's certified top-two field is Sydney Kamlager-Dove and Samantha Mota, so a Democrat-versus-Republican margin would not describe this contest.
Under each share, its likely range (80 in 100 simulations) · * incumbent
Where the votes are
The map of this race loads here.
Recent elections
| Election | Result | Votes cast |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 · U.S. House ↗ | Not a D–R contestThe ballot was not a Democrat versus a Republican; a D/R margin cannot identify the winner. | 204,814 |
| 2022 · U.S. House ↗ | Not a D–R contestThe ballot was not a Democrat versus a Republican; a D/R margin cannot identify the winner. | 131,880 |
| 2020 · U.S. House ↗ | D+71.9 | 296,621 |
| 2018 · U.S. House ↗ | D+78.2 | 236,378 |
Historical district boundaries may differ. Margins are the Democrat’s share of all votes cast minus the Republican’s.
The money
Sydney Kamlager-Dove ↗
D$1.2Mraised
$185K cash on hand
Samantha Mota ↗
D$10Kraised
$2K cash on handFiling through 09/30/2026
The tick marks cash on hand. A missing filing stays blank rather than becoming $0.
One more fundraising reportCall the Map · $325
The candidates are comfortably out-fundraising the website covering them. A little rude, perhaps, but statistically unsurprising.
- Received so far
- $325
- Measured compute
- $26,188.58
Ko-fi and Buy Me a Coffee supports are counted as each one arrives. Measured compute prices model runs at standard published API rates; it is not what I paid. Hosting, data and subscriptions, the domain and my own time are not counted. Donations buy gratitude, never a forecast adjustment.
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Thank you to Tom H., ColoradoFlyer, Chris, EW, gbaileym…, True Independent, MT V., JBL, Erin G., Caroline M., Melanie, MKV and 7 more.
No outside spending matched: Sydney Kamlager-Dove, Samantha Mota.
FEC filings · through 06/30/2026 · Definitions & method
Race context
- 2024 presidential vote here
- 235,123
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+62.3between the two parties
Forecast as of October 28, 2026: Call the Map currently has Sydney Kamlager-Dove ahead of Samantha Mota by 65.2 points, with a >99 in 100 chance to win. The seat is currently held by a Democrat. That result would keep the seat with Democrats. No current nominee-matched poll average is available, so the forecast is leaning on the non-polling evidence shown below.