CA-34 · U.S. House
Open this race on The Map ↗Angela Gonzales-Torres is narrowly favored to win. Projected candidate margin: Angela Gonzales-Torres over Jimmy Gomez by 3.9 points. No two-party forecast is published for this race: November's certified top-two field is Angela Gonzales-Torres and Jimmy Gomez, so a Democrat-versus-Republican margin would not describe this contest.
high / low: vote share (%) in the middle 80 in 100 simulations
Recent elections
| Election | Result | Votes cast |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 · U.S. House ↗ | Not a D–R contestThe ballot was not a Democrat versus a Republican; a D/R margin cannot identify the winner. | 189,414 |
| 2022 · U.S. House ↗ | Not a D–R contestThe ballot was not a Democrat versus a Republican; a D/R margin cannot identify the winner. | 121,467 |
| 2020 · U.S. House ↗ | Not a D–R contestThe ballot was not a Democrat versus a Republican; a D/R margin cannot identify the winner. | 205,346 |
| 2018 · U.S. House ↗ | Not a D–R contestThe ballot was not a Democrat versus a Republican; a D/R margin cannot identify the winner. | 151,906 |
Historical district boundaries may differ. Margins compare Democratic and Republican vote totals. Nonstandard ballots are labeled separately.
The money
Jimmy Gomez ↗
D$1.2Mraised
$782K cash on handFiling through 06/30/2026
Angela Gonzales-Torres ↗
D$229Kraised
$44K cash on handFiling through 06/30/2026
Bar length compares reported receipts in this race; the tick marks cash on hand. A missing filing stays blank rather than becoming $0.
One more fundraising reportCall the Map · $0
The candidates are comfortably out-fundraising the website covering them. A little rude, perhaps, but statistically unsurprising.
- Received so far
- $0
- Measured compute
- $26,188.58
Ko-fi and Buy Me a Coffee receipts are counted through Sep 1, 2026. Measured compute prices model runs at standard published API rates; it is not what I paid. Hosting, data and subscriptions, the domain and my own time are not counted. Donations buy gratitude, never a forecast adjustment.
No outside spending matched: Jimmy Gomez.
FEC filings · through 06/30/2026 · Definitions & method
No county projection here: this is a same-party general, so there is no Democratic-vs-Republican margin to project onto counties.
Race context
- Forecast votes cast
- 144,891
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+53.0
Coverage
1 quote
- California Democratic Rep. Jimmy Gomez faces increasing turbulence heading into his general election, according to new polling showing him statistically tied with Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres.
www.semafor.com/article/09/1... ↗
Semafor · Official · 2d ago
curated newsroom · recent Bluesky post · named-race match · election-topic match