Ohio

SenateD+1.8

U.S. House · projectedD 5 · R 10

GovernorD+1.0

2024 presidentR+11.2

Forecast as of October 24, 2026. U.S. Senate: Sherrod Brown ahead of Jon Husted by D+1.8, with a 63 in 100 chance to win. Governor: Amy Acton ahead of Vivek Ramaswamy by D+1.0, with a 57 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 5 of the state's 15 districts and Republicans in 10.

Closest races

GovernorFLIPAmy Acton vs. Vivek RamaswamyTilt DD+1.0 OH-09FLIPDerek Merrin vs. Marcy KapturTilt RR+1.4 U.S. SenateFLIPSherrod Brown vs. Jon HustedTilt DD+1.8 OH-15Mike Carey vs. Don LeonardLean RR+3.0

Projected delegation: D 5 · R 10

OH-01Greg Landsman vs. Eric ConroyLean DD+4.6 OH-02David Taylor vs. Jennifer MazzuckelliSolid RR+33.7 OH-03Joyce Beatty vs. Cleophus DulaneySolid DD+44.7 OH-04Jim Jordan vs. Joshua KolasinskiSolid RR+34.2 OH-05Bob Latta vs. Brian ShaverSolid RR+17.6 OH-06Michael Rulli vs. Elizabeth KirtleySolid RR+27.0 OH-07FLIPBrian Poindexter vs. Max MillerLean DD+3.7 OH-08Warren Davidson vs. Vanessa EnochLikely RR+10.6 OH-09FLIPDerek Merrin vs. Marcy KapturTilt RR+1.4 OH-10Mike Turner vs. Kristina KnickerbockerLean RR+3.4 OH-11Shontel Brown vs. Mike KirchnerSolid DD+57.5 OH-12Troy Balderson vs. Jerrad ChristianSolid RR+23.1 OH-13Emilia Sykes vs. Carey ColemanLikely DD+12.5 OH-14David Joyce vs. Maria JukicSolid RR+14.6 OH-15Mike Carey vs. Don LeonardLean RR+3.0