This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Republicans are favored to hold control of the Texas House.
150 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Republican — 50 in 100 | TERRY CANALES | VANGELA CHURCHILL · NEHEMIAS "MEMO" GOMEZ · CELESTE CABRERA-HUFF | |
| 42 | Republican — 52 in 100 | RICHARD PENA RAYMOND | TERESA JOHNSON-HERNANDEZ | |
| 38 | ERIN ELIZABETH GAMEZ — 53 in 100 | ERIN ELIZABETH GAMEZ | LAURA E. CISNEROS | |
| 34 | Republican — 56 in 100 | STEPHANIE GUERRERO SAENZ | DENISE VILLALOBOS | |
| 41 | Republican — 57 in 100 | VICTOR SEBY HADDAD · ERIC HOLGUIN · JULIO SALINAS | GARY GROVES · SARAH SAGREDO - HAMMOND · SERGIO SANCHEZ | |
| 39 | Republican — 60 in 100 | ARMANDO MANDO MARTINEZ | — | |
| 144 | DAVID FLORES — 62 in 100 | EMMANUEL GUERRERO · MICHAEL MONTEMAYOR · MARY ANN PEREZ | DAVID FLORES | |
| 112 | Republican — 64 in 100 | ZACH HERBERT | PERRY E. BARKER, SR · ANGIE CHEN BUTTON · CHAD CARNAHAN · TINA PRICE | |
| 118 | Republican — 68 in 100 | KRISTIAN CARRANZA | JORGE BORREGO · DESI MARTINEZ · JOE SHELLHART | |
| 75 | MARY E GONZALEZ — 69 in 100 | MARY E GONZALEZ | — |