Iowa

SenateR+1.2

U.S. House · projectedD 2 · R 2

GovernorD+6.5

2024 presidentR+13.3

Forecast as of October 24, 2026. U.S. Senate: Ashley Hinson ahead of Josh Turek by R+1.2, with a 59 in 100 chance to win. Governor: Rob Sand ahead of Zach Lahn by D+6.5, with an 85 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 2 of the state's 4 districts and Republicans in 2.

Closest races

IA-02Joe Mitchell vs. Lindsay JamesToss-upD+0.4 IA-03Zach Nunn vs. Sarah Trone GarriottTilt RR+0.8 U.S. SenateJosh Turek vs. Ashley HinsonTilt RR+1.2 GovernorFLIPRob Sand vs. Zach LahnLikely DD+6.5

Projected delegation: D 2 · R 2

IA-01FLIPChristina Bohannan vs. Mariannette Miller-MeeksLikely DD+8.8 IA-02Joe Mitchell vs. Lindsay JamesToss-upD+0.4 IA-03Zach Nunn vs. Sarah Trone GarriottTilt RR+0.8 IA-04Chris McGowan vs. David DawsonSolid RR+20.3