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The West Virginia Senate Safe R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Republicans are favored to hold control of the West Virginia Senate.

Chance of R control>99 in 100Expected Democratic seats 1.7 of 3480% range 12
D 234 seatsR 32
PVIR+21
Seats up in 202617
Chamber size34
District by district

17 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
13MIKE OLIVERIO — 72 in 100JOHN WILLIAMSMIKE OLIVERIOR+5.7
17Republican — 99 in 100WES HOLDENCHRIS PRITT · TOM TAKUBOR+21.8
16Republican — 99 in 100JASON BARRETT · CHANTELE MACKR+24.1
5CHRIS MILLER — 99 in 100DURON JACKSON · JOSH KECK · PAUL DAVID ROSSCHRIS MILLERR+25.2
8Republican — >99 in 100KIM HUNDLEYT. KEVAN BARTLETT · STEVEN CARDER ESHENAUR · LANCE WHEELERR+28.0
1Republican — >99 in 100SHAWN FLUHARTYLAURA WAKIM CHAPMAN · JOE EDDYR+39.9
2Republican — >99 in 100CHRIS CLAYPOLEROBERT DOBKIN · TOBY HEANEYR+42.5
15Republican — >99 in 100ELIZABETH FERRISKEN REED · DARREN J THORNE · ROBERT WOLFORDR+46.8
12Republican — >99 in 100LYNETTE MURRAYJOSEPH (JOE) EARLEY · BEN QUEENR+48.1
3Republican — >99 in 100CACI PETREHNMIKE AZINGER · BOB FEHRENBACHERR+48.8