This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Democrats are favored to hold control of the Rhode Island Senate.
38 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nelly Burdette — 51 in 100 | Nelly Burdette | Thomas J Paolino · John Douglas Barr II (O) · Jina N Petrarca (O) | |
| 24 | Republican — 58 in 100 | Sharon L Harmon · Lauren Healey · Jennifer Ann Jolicoeur · Bridget Eileen Madden · Garrett S Mancieri · Melissa Murray · Jill Parrett | — | |
| 9 | Republican — 58 in 100 | John Burke | — | |
| 20 | Democratic — 59 in 100 | Adam B Brunetti · Martin A Crowley · Liam J Kane · Alan M Leclaire · Margaux Morisseau · Brian J Thompson · Christine F Thompson | — | |
| 34 | Republican — 66 in 100 | Justin Bentley · Tristan Grau · Christopher T Kona · Samantha R Wilcox · Linda Zambrano · Paul J Zambrano | Diane Bampton Allen · Kim M Coulter · Paul H Michaud · Elaine J Morgan · Jasmin Roy | |
| 22 | Republican — 69 in 100 | John J Baxter Jr · Charles T Jackvony · Timothy F Kane · Brian Kennedy · Lawrence J Mancini · Pasquale Antonio Matteo · James K Mcnelis · David P Tikoian | — | |
| 27 | Democratic — 72 in 100 | Joseph Henry Crowley · Matthew DeCubellis · David C Dimaio · Scott Gregory Duhamel · Hanna M Gallo · Deborah A Hayden · Stephanie Mandeville · Gabriel Rei | — | |
| 26 | Democratic — 74 in 100 | Joseph Baginski · Mario G Carlino · Milva Catallozzi · Stephanie Giarrusso · Beatrice A Lanzi · Todd M Patalano | — | |
| 19 | Democratic — 76 in 100 | Lisa A Beaulieu · Peter J Bradley · Manuel Da Costa · Joseph Duarte · Alyssa Ledo · Justin M Ledo · James Metivier · Jillian Mort · William Murray · Frances Alice Pearson · Ryan W Pearson · James E Scullin · Melissa Travis · Brandon T Voas | — | |
| 31 | Democratic — 79 in 100 | Serena M Conley · Christopher E Friel · Ana Y Kennedy · Michelle O Komar · Matthew L LaMountain · John D Lynch Jr · Mary E McNulty · Katelyn M Revens | — |