Rhode Island · House · State Legislature

The Rhode Island House Safe D

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Democrats are favored to hold control of the Rhode Island House.

Chance of D control99 in 100Expected Democratic seats 56.8 of 7580% range 51–62

D 6474 seats · 38 for a majorityR 10

PVID+8

Seats up in 202675

Chamber size75

Majority threshold38

District by district

75 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band

Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct

Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

		Democrat	Republican
51	Robert D Phillips — 51 in 100	Robert D Phillips	—	D+0.2
38	Republican — 53 in 100	Brian Patrick Kennedy · Stephen C Moffitt	—	R+0.7
26	Republican — 55 in 100	Earl A Read III	—	R+1.3
50	Republican — 57 in 100	Stephen Casey	—	R+1.6
49	Republican — 58 in 100	Veronicka Vega	— · Jon D Brien (O)	R+1.9
27	Republican — 62 in 100	Angela S Coburn	Lawrence Paul Almagno Jr	R+3.1
25	Republican — 63 in 100	Thomas E Noret	—	R+3.2
46	Mary Ann Shallcross Smith — 66 in 100	Mary Ann Shallcross Smith	—	D+4.0
39	Jasmin Roy — 67 in 100	Megan L Cotter	Jasmin Roy	R+4.5
41	Michael J Riley — 68 in 100	Shaina N Smith	Michael J Riley	R+4.5