This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Democrats are favored to hold control of the Nevada Assembly.
42 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | Shea M. Backus — 51 in 100 | Shea M. Backus | Jill M Douglass | |
| 41 | Republican — 52 in 100 | Spencer Lloyd Ridenour · Carl Vincent Spotleson · Gabriela Wyett | Tofuola Alofipo · Kelly Chapman | |
| 9 | Democratic — 52 in 100 | Ryan Hampton · Maria Teresa Hank | Erica Alejandra Neely · Cristhian Orozco | |
| 12 | Max Carter II — 54 in 100 | Max Carter II | Nancy Roecker | |
| 21 | Elaine H Marzola — 57 in 100 | Elaine H Marzola | Patsy Ann Carvalho · Tighe Galvin (O) | |
| 5 | Brittney M. Miller — 59 in 100 | Brittney M. Miller | Joshua Dowden · Kelly Quinn | |
| 8 | Democratic — 60 in 100 | Paul John L. Cook, Sr. · Ngoc Duy Vu Nguyen | Joseph Charafi · David Farrakhan | |
| 35 | Rebecca Edgeworth — 62 in 100 | Joseph Spica | Rebecca Edgeworth | |
| 29 | Democratic — 63 in 100 | Bradley Combs · Ashley Delobel · Alex Pereszlenyi | Joseph Thomas Ludwig | |
| 16 | Democratic — 65 in 100 | Eva O. Chase · Cecelia Gonzalez | John Carlo · Jasmine Kurys (O) |