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The Idaho House Safe R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Republicans are favored to hold control of the Idaho House.

Chance of R control>99 in 100Expected Democratic seats 10.3 of 7080% range 811
D 970 seats · 36 for a majorityR 61
PVIR+18
Seats up in 202670
Chamber size70
Majority threshold36
District by district

70 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
15Steve Keyser — 71 in 100Steve BerchSteve KeyserR+5.3
15Dori Healey — 71 in 100Jae EtchartDori HealeyR+5.3
26Republican — 71 in 100Anita JanisJeff Emerick · Mike PohankaR+5.4
26Lyle Johnstone — 71 in 100Kevin MarshLyle JohnstoneR+5.4
29Dustin W. Manwaring — 91 in 100Mary SheaDustin W. ManwaringR+13.0
29Republican — 91 in 100Nate RobertsTanya Burgoyne · Jennifer MilesR+13.0
17John Gannon — 91 in 100John GannonJames R NechwedowichD+13.5
17Megan Egbert — 91 in 100Megan EgbertJustin Alexander Peter HughesD+13.5
6Republican — 97 in 100Ryan Wayne Augusta · Bryce Blankenship · Trish Carter-GoodheartCindy Agidius · Colton BennettR+18.6
6Brandon Mitchell — 97 in 100Kathy Dawes · Kenneth D WilliamsBrandon MitchellR+18.6