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The Georgia House Likely R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Republicans are favored to hold control of the Georgia House.

Chance of R control75 in 100Expected Democratic seats 86.0 of 18080% range 8089
D 80180 seats · 91 for a majorityR 100
PVIR+1
Seats up in 2026180
Chamber size180
Majority threshold91
District by district

180 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
48Adam Cleveland — 55 in 100Adam ClevelandScott HiltonD+1.1
154Harry James — 57 in 100Harry JamesGerald E. GreeneD+1.7
105Democratic — 61 in 100 · Sandy Donatucci (O) · Farooq Mughal (O)D+2.7
45Sharon Cooper — 61 in 100Michelle SchreinerSharon CooperR+2.7
128Trey Sheppard — 67 in 100Tyrone A. Evans · Rameriz LewisTrey SheppardR+4.3
145Tangie Herring — 67 in 100Tangie HerringEric S. WilsonD+4.4
150Patty Bentley Stinson — 69 in 100Patty Bentley StinsonCary MooreD+4.8
99Democratic — 73 in 100 · Shelly John Abraham (O) · Michelle Kang (O) · Matt Reeves (O)D+5.9
151Mike Cheokas — 73 in 100Ethan WolfeMike CheokasR+6.1
49Charles E. "Chuck" Martin — 74 in 100Teresa LinCharles E. "Chuck" MartinR+6.4
The Race Feed · 2 items across Georgia races →