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analysis · Call the MapOct 18, 8:00 AM ET

The Drift

Fifty years of presidential elections, state by state and county by county. In 1976, 22 of the 50 states and D.C. voted within 5 points of the country as a whole. In 2024, eight did. Along the way 27 of them crossed from one side of the nation to the other, and the countryside, which voted 4 points more Democratic than the big cities in 1976, voted 58 points more Republican than them in 2024.

Call the Map Data DeskGeneral Election

From the Data Desk

Reported by Call the Map
  1. Open grassland with fence posts and bare shrubs under a heavy, dark storm cloud. A curtain of rain falls at the left, and a line of snow-covered mountains runs along the horizon.

    Nobody’s Candidate

    Some Montana Democrats call their own Senate nominee a plant. We went looking for evidence and found who paid for most of the campaign to nominate her: a nonprofit with a one-page website and a mailbox in Delaware.

  2. The empty chamber of the Texas House of Representatives: rows of wooden desks on either side of an aisle that runs to the speaker’s rostrum, under a coffered glass ceiling.

    The House Always Wins

    A history of gerrymandering in 10 maps. From a dinner table in Boston in 1812 to the map on your ballot on November 3, and how the mapmakers stopped hiding.

  3. Chart: every state that elected a senator and a governor on the same day since 1990, as one mark each, Senate margin against governor margin. The marks in two shaded corners are states that split the offices between the parties. Ohio's one split, in 2018, is labeled.

    The Ohio Split

    In 2018, seven Ohio counties voted for Sherrod Brown and for the ticket of Mike DeWine and Jon Husted. This year Brown and Husted are running against each other, with a second close race directly below them. We went through every state that has filled both offices on one day since 1990, and all 88 Ohio counties.

  4. Victor Marx, in a light blue shirt, speaking into a microphone at a Turning Point USA convention in Phoenix.

    The Testimony

    Victor Marx has said he was made to shoot a man at seven, called in an airstrike and met Satan in person. His father was named Karl Marx. Colorado Republicans made him their nominee for governor. We checked the records his story left behind.

  5. John Fetterman, in a black hooded sweatshirt, beside a Pennsylvania flag in March 2022, two months before his stroke.

    The Fetterman Inversion

    Four years ago John Fetterman was the hoodie-wearing hero of Democratic populism. Today he is more popular with Pennsylvania Republicans than with Democrats, and he just appeared on the screens of a Republican convention. The numbers show a transformation stranger than either party's caricature.

  6. Chart: El-Sayed's raw statewide lead over Stevens started at 28 points on the first returns and collapsed to 1.3 points — 14,893 votes — as the mail vote was counted, while the modeled estimate stayed near the final result all night.

    The Abdul Mirage

    Michigan’s markets saw a landslide. Its first returns looked like one. Then Haley Stevens’ mail vote arrived—and a progressive breakthrough shrank to 14,893 votes.

Show more more stories and posts

Most covered races

  1. Ohio · Governor14 stories · latest Oct 24 · most mentioned: Vivek Ramaswamy
  2. Michigan · Senate10 stories · latest Oct 25 · most mentioned: Abdul El-Sayed
  3. Alaska · Senate10 stories · latest Oct 25 · most mentioned: Dan Sullivan
  4. Texas · Senate10 stories · latest Oct 23 · most mentioned: Ken Paxton
  5. Texas · Governor7 stories · latest Oct 25 · most mentioned: Greg Abbott
  6. Nevada · Governor7 stories · latest Oct 25 · most mentioned: Aaron Ford
  7. Ohio · Senate5 stories · latest Oct 24 · most mentioned: Sherrod Brown
  8. Maine · Senate5 stories · latest Oct 23 · most mentioned: Troy Jackson
About & sourcesCoverage, fetch health and provenance54 outlets

Headlines open at their original publishers. The roster describes coverage, not ideology or forecast weight; every story has zero model weight.

Times are Eastern. The Wire shows English-language coverage (2 of 134 items this sweep were filed in another language and are held back, not deleted), one row per story, and no more than 2 stories from one outlet at a time.

  • Ballotpedia News ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 12:02 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • CalMatters ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 8:00 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Capital B ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 8:00 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Capitol Beat News Service ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 16, 7:30 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Capitol News Illinois ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 21, 11:53 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Cardinal News ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 4:40 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Carolina Public Press ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 20, 1:27 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • CBS News Politics ↗Independent coverage4 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 25, 11:21 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • CNalysis ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 8, 10:00 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • CommonWealth Beacon ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 24, 1:26 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Connecticut Mirror ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 3:57 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • El Paso Matters ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 20, 12:18 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Election Law Blog ↗Independent coverage2 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 24, 11:23 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • FactCheck.org ↗Independent coverage6 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 4:44 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Honolulu Civil Beat ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 25, 6:01 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Houston Public Media ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 22, 4:29 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • InDepthNH ↗Independent coverage4 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 24, 6:41 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Iowa Public Radio news ↗Independent coverage4 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 2:07 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Iowa Starting Line ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 2:09 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • KFF Health News ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 5:00 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • KTOO ↗Independent coverage2 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 5:58 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Las Vegas Sun ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 24, 5:00 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Michigan Public ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 24, 11:28 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Mississippi Free Press ↗Independent coverage4 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 6:29 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Mississippi Today ↗Independent state newsroom2 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 3:28 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Montana Public Radio ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 15, 1:58 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • MPR News ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 22, 9:03 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • New York Focus ↗Independent coverage2 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 14, 12:00 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • NOTUS ↗Independent coverage4 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Oklahoma Watch ↗State reporting1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 21, 12:00 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • PBS NewsHour Politics ↗Independent coverage5 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 24, 3:04 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • ProPublica ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 12:00 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Reason ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 3:23 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Route Fifty ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 22, 12:00 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Semafor ↗Independent national analysis7 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 12:45 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Signal Cleveland ↗Independent coverage2 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 2:30 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Signal Ohio Statehouse ↗Independent coverage2 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 2:30 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • South Dakota News Watch ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 22, 5:00 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • South Dakota Public Broadcasting ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 20, 4:06 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Spotlight Delaware ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 6:00 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Texas Observer ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 21, 10:48 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Texas Public Radio ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 5:18 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • Texas Tribune ↗Independent state newsroom1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 3:44 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • The Assembly NC ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 22, 6:15 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • The Current GA ↗Independent coverage2 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 24, 5:46 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • The Downballot ↗Left-leaning race analysis2 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 8:04 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • The Guardian US politics ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 25, 9:23 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • The Nevada Independent politics ↗Independent coverage8 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 25, 5:00 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • VPM News ↗Independent coverage1 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 22, 10:53 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • VTDigger ↗Independent coverage2 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 22, 10:10 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • WBUR ↗Independent coverage4 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 21, 8:48 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • WDET ↗Independent coverage3 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 23, 11:45 AM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • WITF ↗Independent coverage5 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 22, 10:17 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
  • WOSU ↗Independent coverage4 / 134 stories · latest story Oct 24, 5:13 PM ET · latest sweep Oct 25, 1:07 PM ET · outlet fetch succeeded
HEADLINES WITH ATTRIBUTION — display links only; no forecast weight

Source · curated RSS, 123 outlets (news_outlets.json) — a hand-curated whitelist of state and national outlets, not an open crawl. Matching is conservative: a story attaches to a race only on a name/keyword entity match, so some relevant coverage will be missed rather than mis-filed.

Feed health · partial coverage114 of 123 whitelisted outlets returned a successful fetch in the latest sweep (93% coverage); 9 failed and are carrying nothing new. The roster above counts outlets with stories in this edition, which includes ones carried over from an earlier sweep.

  • Jacksonville Today · publisher blocked the fetch (HTTP 403); nothing new fetched
  • MinnPost · outlet fetch failed (HTTP 429); nothing new fetched
  • Nashville Banner · outlet fetch failed (HTTP 429); nothing new fetched
  • New Mexico Political Report · publisher blocked the fetch (HTTP 403); nothing new fetched
  • Roll Call · feed could not be parsed (HTTP 200); nothing new fetched
  • The Appeal · publisher blocked the fetch (HTTP 403); nothing new fetched
  • The Lens · publisher blocked the fetch (HTTP 403); nothing new fetched
  • WHYY · publisher blocked the fetch (HTTP 403); nothing new fetched
  • Wisconsin Public Radio · publisher blocked the fetch (HTTP 403); nothing new fetched