Don't know 6.16% · Someone else 0.4% · Stacy Garrity 38.69% · Josh Shapiro 54.75%
- Field dates
- Aug 17–Aug 21, 2026
- Sample
- 760 LV
- Sponsor / client
- The Philadelphia Inquirer
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Joint polling team
The New York Times/Siena College
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 101
- Mean absolute error
- 3.98percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.22
- Represented cycles
- 62016–2024
- Current archive
- 36canonical records
- History span
- Oct 22, 2016through Nov 2, 2024
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- New York Times/Siena College · New York Times/Siena University · The New York Times/Portland Press Herald/Siena University · The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer · The New York Times/Siena University · The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University
- Participating organizations
- The New York Times · Siena College
- Cycles represented
- 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024
101 eligible historical polls across 6 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 36 total
Don't know 7.87% · Someone else 0.45% · Stacy Garrity 37.3% · Josh Shapiro 54.37%
- Field dates
- Aug 17–Aug 21, 2026
- Sample
- 760 RV
- Sponsor / client
- The Philadelphia Inquirer
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Begich +12HOU-AK-01
Don't know 8.63% · Someone else 1.07% · Nick Begich 51.14% · Matt Schultz 39.16%
- Field dates
- Jun 15–Jun 29, 2026
- Sample
- 593 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Sullivan +2.4Alaska · Senate
Don't know 5.35% · Someone else 2.11% · Dan Sullivan 47.47% · Mary Peltola 45.06%
- Field dates
- Jun 15–Jun 29, 2026
- Sample
- 593 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Husted +2.8Ohio · Senate
Don't know 3% · Someone else 0.23% · Jon Husted 49.8% · Sherrod Brown 47%
- Field dates
- Jun 15–Jun 28, 2026
- Sample
- 601 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Ramaswamy +0.2Ohio · Governor
Don't know 6.06% · Someone else 0.41% · Vivek Ramaswamy 46.85% · Amy Acton 46.67%
- Field dates
- Jun 15–Jun 28, 2026
- Sample
- 601 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Paxton +0.1Texas · Senate
Don't know 5.85% · Someone else 0.91% · Ken Paxton 46.67% · James Talarico 46.57%
- Field dates
- Jun 19–Jun 27, 2026
- Sample
- 656 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Abbott +6.4Texas · Governor
Don't know 4.65% · Someone else 0.48% · Greg Abbott 50.64% · Gina Hinojosa 44.23%
- Field dates
- Jun 19–Jun 27, 2026
- Sample
- 656 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Don't know 6.44% · Someone else 0.41% · Michael Whatley 43.19% · Roy Cooper 50%
- Field dates
- Jun 15–Jun 27, 2026
- Sample
- 601 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Hinson +2.5Iowa · Senate
Don't know 5.2% · Someone else 0.32% · Ashley Hinson 48.48% · Josh Turek 46.01%
- Field dates
- Jun 15–Jun 27, 2026
- Sample
- 600 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Sand +1.6Iowa · Governor
Don't know 5.12% · Someone else 0.15% · Zach Lahn 46.54% · Rob Sand 48.19%
- Field dates
- Jun 15–Jun 27, 2026
- Sample
- 600 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Pingree +13.3Maine · Governor
Don't know 5.49% · Someone else 0.44% · Rick Bennett 8.06% · Bobby Charles 36.38% · Hannah Pingree 49.63%
- Field dates
- Jun 19–Jun 26, 2026
- Sample
- 608 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Portland Press Herald
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
1 shown · 101 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2016_Gov-G_NC | Gov-G | 2016-10-22 | 792 | D+6.0 | D+0.2 | D+5.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.