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Pollster file

co/efficient

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
23
Mean absolute error
5.92percentage points
Historical bias
R+3.56
Represented cycles
52019–2025
Current archive
83canonical records
History span
Sep 6, 2019through Oct 27, 2025
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
co/efficient (R)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2019 · 2020 · 2021 · 2022 · 2025

23 eligible historical polls across 5 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 83 total

Moody +8

Ashley Moody 48% · Angie Nixon 40% · Neil Gillespie 2%

Field dates
Oct 18–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
1,014 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Donalds +9

Byron Donalds 49% · David Jolly 40%

Field dates
Oct 18–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
1,014 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Republican +8

Don't know 10% · Generic Candidate 0% · Generic Democrat 41% · Generic Republican 49%

Field dates
Oct 18–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
1,014 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Republican +6

Don't know 6% · Generic Candidate 4% · Generic Democrat 42% · Generic Republican 48%

Field dates
Oct 18–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
1,014 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Sand +4

Rob Sand 49% · Zach Lahn 45%

Field dates
Oct 15–Oct 19, 2026
Sample
863 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Hinson +3

Ashley Hinson 48% · Josh Turek 45% · Thomas Laehn 2%

Field dates
Oct 15–Oct 19, 2026
Sample
863 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Husted +1

Sherrod Brown 43% · Jon Husted 44% · Gregory Levy 3% · Bill Redpath 1%

Field dates
Oct 5–Oct 6, 2026
Sample
925 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Husted +1

Sherrod Brown 45% · Jon Husted 46%

Field dates
Oct 5–Oct 6, 2026
Sample
925 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Ramaswamy +2

Amy Acton 43% · Vivek Ramaswamy 45% · Don Kissick 3%

Field dates
Oct 5–Oct 6, 2026
Sample
925 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Pingree +9

Don't know 9% · Rick Bennett 6% · Bobby Charles 38% · Hannah Pingree 47%

Field dates
Sep 28–Sep 30, 2026
Sample
1,240 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Collins +2

Susan Collins 48% · Troy Jackson 46%

Field dates
Sep 28–Sep 30, 2026
Sample
1,240 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Hochul +7

Kathy Hochul 48% · Bruce Blakeman 41%

Field dates
Sep 23–Sep 25, 2026
Sample
1,046 LV
Sponsor / client
Coalition to Protect Nassau Taxpayers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

23 shown · 23 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2025NJ · GovernorGov-G2025-10-27—D+1.0D+14.4R+13.4
2025VA · GovernorGov-G2025-10-17—D+5.0D+15.4R+10.4
2025VA · Attorney generalAG-G2025-10-17—R+4.0D+6.7R+10.7
2022CO · SenateSen-G2022-11-05856D+8.0D+14.6R+6.6
2022CO · GovernorGov-G2022-11-05856D+12.0D+19.4R+7.3
2022PA · SenateSen-G2022-10-271,716R+3.0D+4.9R+7.9
2022PA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-271,716D+10.0D+14.8R+4.8
2022NH · SenateSen-G2022-10-261,0980D+9.1R+9.1
2022NH-2 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-26573R+1.0D+11.7R+12.7
2022NH-1 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-26525D+4.0D+8.1R+4.1
2022NH · GovernorGov-G2022-10-261,098R+18.0R+15.6R+2.4
2022GA · SenateSen-G2022-10-25946R+3.4D+1.0R+4.4
2022CO · SenateSen-G2022-10-25826D+15.5D+14.6D+0.9
2022AZ · SenateSen-G2022-10-211,111D+1.8D+4.9R+3.1
2022AZ · GovernorGov-G2022-10-211,111R+3.3D+0.7R+4.0
2022WA · SenateSen-G2022-10-201,181D+3.0D+14.6R+11.6
2022NY · GovernorGov-G2022-10-191,056R+1.0D+6.4R+7.4
2021VA · GovernorGov-G2021-10-21785R+4.0R+1.9R+2.1
2020VT · PresidentPres-G2020-10-20584D+30.0D+35.6R+5.6
2020KS · SenateSen-G2020-10-192,453R+12.0R+11.4R+0.6
2020KS · PresidentPres-G2020-10-192,453R+17.0R+14.7R+2.4
2020PA-8 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-14615D+5.0D+3.5D+1.4
2019NC-9 · HouseHouse-G2019-09-061,175D+1.5R+2.0D+3.5

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.