Iowa · Governor
Rob Sand 47.8% · Zach Lahn 43.6%
- Field dates
- Aug 20–Aug 23, 2026
- Sample
- 500 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
67 eligible historical polls across 17 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
10 shown · 22 total
Rob Sand 47.8% · Zach Lahn 43.6%
Ashley Hinson 45.4% · Josh Turek 40.8%
Maura Healey 56% · Mike Minogue 31%
Ed Markey 55% · John Deaton 30%
Seth Moulton 54% · John Deaton 26%
Maura Healey 56% · Brian Shortsleeve 29%
Seth Moulton 52% · John Deaton 29%
Ed Markey 54% · John Deaton 31%
Mikie Sherrill 46.2% · Jack Ciattarelli 42.2%
Abigail Spanberger 51.8% · Winsome Earle-Sears 43.2%
50 shown · 67 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NJ · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-29 | — | D+4.0 | D+14.4 | R+10.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-21 | — | D+9.0 | D+15.4 | R+6.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Attorney general | AG-G | 2025-10-21 | — | R+4.0 | D+6.7 | R+10.7 |
| 2024 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-30 | — | 0 | R+1.7 | D+1.7 |
| 2024 | MI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-27 | — | 0 | R+1.4 | D+1.4 |
| 2024 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-23 | — | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | R+0.1 |
| 2024 | national · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-18 | — | D+1.0 | R+1.5 | D+2.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_PA | Sen-G | 2022-10-29 | 500 | D+1.8 | D+4.9 | R+3.1 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_PA | Gov-G | 2022-10-29 | 500 | D+12.0 | D+14.8 | R+2.8 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_NV | Sen-G | 2022-10-26 | 500 | D+1.0 | D+0.8 | D+0.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_NV | Gov-G | 2022-10-26 | 500 | R+0.4 | R+1.5 | D+1.1 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_US | House-G | 2022-10-22 | 1,000 | R+4.5 | R+2.7 | R+1.8 |
| 2021 | 2021_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2021-10-23 | 500 | D+0.4 | R+1.9 | D+2.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 1,000 | D+7.0 | D+4.5 | D+2.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_US | House-G | 2020-10-25 | 1,000 | D+10.1 | D+3.0 | D+7.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-17 | 500 | D+6.2 | D+1.2 | D+5.0 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 2018-10-27 | 500 | D+1.8 | R+0.1 | D+1.9 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2018-10-27 | 500 | D+1.0 | R+0.4 | D+1.4 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_MA | Sen-G | 2018-10-26 | 500 | D+21.2 | D+24.2 | R+3.0 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_MA | Gov-G | 2018-10-26 | 500 | R+39.4 | R+33.6 | R+5.8 |
| 2018 | 2018_House-G_US | House-G | 2018-10-20 | 1,000 | D+8.6 | D+8.8 | R+0.1 |
| 2017 | 2017_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2017-10-31 | 500 | D+4.0 | D+8.9 | R+4.9 |
| 2017 | 2017_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2017-10-27 | 500 | D+15.6 | D+14.1 | D+1.5 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2016-11-01 | 500 | R+2.8 | D+0.1 | R+2.9 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_NH | Pres-G | 2016-11-01 | 500 | R+0.4 | D+0.4 | R+0.8 |
| 2016 | 2016_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2016-11-01 | 500 | R+4.0 | R+2.3 | R+1.7 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_MA | Pres-G | 2016-10-25 | 500 | D+32.0 | D+27.6 | D+4.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-22 | 1,000 | D+10.1 | D+2.1 | D+7.9 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2016-10-18 | 500 | R+15.0 | R+20.9 | D+5.9 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2016-10-18 | 500 | 0 | R+8.1 | D+8.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_MA | Sen-G | 2014-10-28 | 500 | D+15.0 | D+23.9 | R+8.9 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_MA | Gov-G | 2014-10-28 | 500 | R+3.4 | R+1.9 | R+1.5 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2014-10-25 | 500 | D+1.6 | D+1.1 | D+0.5 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2014-10-20 | 500 | R+7.4 | R+1.9 | R+5.5 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_CO | Gov-G | 2014-10-20 | 500 | R+2.0 | D+3.3 | R+5.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2014-10-18 | 500 | D+3.0 | D+3.3 | R+0.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2014-10-18 | 500 | D+10.2 | D+5.0 | D+5.2 |
| 2013 | 2013_Sen-GS_MA | Sen-G | 2013-06-21 | 500 | D+10.0 | D+10.2 | R+0.2 |
| 2013 | 2013_Sen-GS_MA | Sen-G | 2013-06-08 | 500 | D+7.0 | D+10.2 | R+3.2 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_MA | Sen-G | 2012-10-27 | 600 | D+7.0 | D+7.5 | R+0.6 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_MA | Pres-G | 2012-10-27 | 600 | D+32.0 | D+23.2 | D+8.8 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2012-10-20 | 600 | D+7.0 | D+6.0 | D+1.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2012-10-20 | 600 | R+0.1 | D+3.0 | R+3.1 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_MA | Gov-G | 2010-10-26 | 500 | D+7.0 | D+6.4 | D+0.6 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 2010-10-23 | 600 | D+9.0 | D+10.0 | R+1.0 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_CA | Gov-G | 2010-10-23 | 600 | D+8.0 | D+12.9 | R+4.9 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_CT | Sen-G | 2010-10-20 | 500 | D+18.0 | D+11.9 | D+6.1 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_CT | Gov-G | 2010-10-20 | 500 | D+11.0 | D+0.6 | D+10.4 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2010-10-16 | 500 | D+7.0 | R+1.1 | D+8.2 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-GS_MA | Sen-G | 2010-01-12 | 500 | R+4.0 | R+4.8 | D+0.8 |
1 further row is held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (NYC-G). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.