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Pollster file

Public Policy Polling

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
333
Mean absolute error
4.15percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.99
Represented cycles
112008–2022
Current archive
153canonical records
History span
Oct 17, 2008through Oct 20, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Public Policy Polling (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022

333 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 153 total

Ramaswamy +6

Don't know 9% · Vivek Ramaswamy 48% · Tim Ryan 42%

Field dates
Feb 19–Feb 20, 2025
Sample
642 LV
Sponsor / client
314 Action
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Wilson +8

Alan Wilson 45% · Jermaine Johnson 37%

Field dates
Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026
Sample
577 LV
Sponsor / client
Annie Andrews
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
House

HOU-VA-01

Tied

Rep 47% · Dem 47%

Field dates
Aug 8–Aug 9, 2025
Sample
541 RV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
House

HOU-VA-01

Wittman +1

Shannon Taylor 40% · Rob Wittman 41%

Field dates
Aug 8–Aug 9, 2025
Sample
541 RV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Cooper +4

Roy Cooper 48% · Michael Whatley 44%

Field dates
Jul 10–Jul 11, 2026
Sample
759 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Tied

Josh Turek 46% · Ashley Hinson 46%

Field dates
Jun 3–Jun 4, 2026
Sample
557 RV
Sponsor / client
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Abbott +4

Gina Hinojosa 44% · Greg Abbott 48%

Field dates
May 22–May 23, 2026
Sample
643 LV
Sponsor / client
Lone Star Rising PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Talarico +7

James Talarico 45% · Ken Paxton 38% · Ted Brown 3%

Field dates
May 22–May 23, 2026
Sample
643 LV
Sponsor / client
Lone Star Rising PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Pillen +5

Jim Pillen 38% · Lynne Walz 33%

Field dates
Apr 6–Apr 7, 2026
Sample
670 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Cooper +3

Roy Cooper 47% · Michael Whatley 44%

Field dates
Mar 13–Mar 14, 2026
Sample
556 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
House

HOU-TX-23

Rep +2

Rep 47% · Dem 45%

Field dates
Mar 10–Mar 11, 2026
Sample
521 RV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
House

HOU-TX-23

Herrera +2

Brandon Herrera 42% · Katy Padilla Stout 40%

Field dates
Mar 10–Mar 11, 2026
Sample
521 RV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

33 shown · 333 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20082008_Pres-G_FLPres-G2008-11-011,717D+2.0D+2.8R+0.8
20082008_House-G_MT-1House-G2008-11-012,734R+25.0R+31.7D+6.7
20082008_Gov-G_NCGov-G2008-11-012,100D+1.0D+3.4R+2.4
20082008_Gov-G_MTGov-G2008-11-012,734D+26.0D+33.0R+7.0
20082008_Gov-G_MOGov-G2008-11-011,343D+19.5D+18.9D+0.6
20082008_Gov-G_INGov-G2008-11-012,634R+23.0R+17.8R+5.2
20082008_Sen-G_WVSen-G2008-10-302,128D+18.0D+27.5R+9.5
20082008_Pres-G_WVPres-G2008-10-302,128R+13.0R+13.1D+0.1
20082008_Gov-G_WVGov-G2008-10-302,128D+42.0D+44.1R+2.1
20082008_Sen-G_ORSen-G2008-10-291,424D+8.0D+3.4D+4.6
20082008_Sen-G_NMSen-G2008-10-291,537D+19.0D+22.7R+3.7
20082008_Sen-G_MNSen-G2008-10-291,050D+5.0D+0.0D+5.0
20082008_Sen-G_MISen-G2008-10-291,532D+22.0D+28.8R+6.8
20082008_Sen-G_COSen-G2008-10-292,023D+15.0D+10.3D+4.7
20082008_Pres-G_ORPres-G2008-10-291,424D+15.0D+16.5R+1.5
20082008_Pres-G_NMPres-G2008-10-291,537D+17.0D+15.1D+1.9
20082008_Pres-G_MNPres-G2008-10-291,050D+16.0D+10.3D+5.7
20082008_Pres-G_MIPres-G2008-10-291,532D+13.0D+16.5R+3.5
20082008_Pres-G_COPres-G2008-10-292,023D+10.0D+8.9D+1.1
20082008_Sen-G_NCSen-G2008-10-261,038D+3.0D+8.5R+5.5
20082008_Pres-G_NCPres-G2008-10-261,038D+1.0D+0.3D+0.7
20082008_House-G_NC-8House-G2008-10-261,589D+5.0D+10.8R+5.8
20082008_Gov-G_NCGov-G2008-10-261,038D+3.0D+3.4R+0.4
20082008_Pres-G_OHPres-G2008-10-23993D+7.0D+4.6D+2.4
20082008_Sen-G_VASen-G2008-10-221,231D+28.0D+31.3R+3.3
20082008_Pres-G_VAPres-G2008-10-221,231D+9.0D+6.3D+2.7
20082008_Sen-G_NCSen-G2008-10-191,200D+7.0D+8.5R+1.5
20082008_Pres-G_NCPres-G2008-10-191,200D+7.0D+0.3D+6.7
20082008_Pres-G_INPres-G2008-10-191,411D+2.0D+1.0D+1.0
20082008_Gov-G_NCGov-G2008-10-191,200D+4.0D+3.4D+0.6
20082008_Gov-G_INGov-G2008-10-191,411R+21.0R+17.8R+3.2
20082008_Pres-G_FLPres-G2008-10-181,158D+1.0D+2.8R+1.8
20082008_Pres-G_WVPres-G2008-10-171,223R+8.0R+13.1D+5.1

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.