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Pollster file

Wick

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
16
Mean absolute error
4.17percentage points
Historical bias
R+1.63
Represented cycles
32017–2022
Current archive
10canonical records
History span
Apr 11, 2017through Nov 4, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Wick (R)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2017 · 2020 · 2022

16 eligible historical polls across 3 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

10 shown · 10 total

Hobbs +5.7

Don't know 4.5% · Someone else 3.4% · Katie Hobbs 48.9% · Andy Biggs 43.2%

Field dates
Oct 3–Oct 6, 2026
Sample
1,513 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor

GOV-VA

Spanberger +10.4

Abigail Spanberger 50.4% · Winsome Earle-Sears 40% · Donna Charles 2.2%

Field dates
Jul 9–Jul 11, 2025
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Ossoff +3.8

Don't know 10.4% · Mike Collins 42.9% · Jon Ossoff 46.7%

Field dates
Jun 27–Jun 30, 2026
Sample
1,175 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Jackson +0.5

Don't know 14.1% · Keisha Lance Bottoms 42.7% · Rick Jackson 43.2%

Field dates
Jun 27–Jun 30, 2026
Sample
1,175 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Platner +2.2

Don't know 7% · Graham Platner 47.6% · Susan Collins 45.4%

Field dates
Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026
Sample
1,008 LV
Sponsor / client
2Way
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary

Tennessee · Governor

Blackburn +17

Marsha Blackburn 45% · John Rose 28% · Monty Fritts 17%

Field dates
Aug 1, 2026
Sample
600 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +3

Dem 42% · Rep 39%

Field dates
Apr 29–Apr 30, 2025
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

16 shown · 16 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2022NH · SenateSen-G2022-11-04725R+0.1D+9.1R+9.2
2022NH · GovernorGov-G2022-11-04725R+10.6R+15.6D+5.0
2022WI · SenateSen-G2022-10-281,089R+4.1R+1.0R+3.1
2022AZ · SenateSen-G2022-10-281,122D+2.3D+4.9R+2.6
2022WI · GovernorGov-G2022-10-281,089R+0.3D+3.4R+3.7
2022MI · GovernorGov-G2022-10-281,137D+1.3D+10.5R+9.2
2022AZ · GovernorGov-G2022-10-281,122R+2.4D+0.7R+3.1
2022PA · SenateSen-G2022-10-271,000R+1.7D+4.9R+6.6
2022PA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-271,000D+5.9D+14.8R+8.9
2020PA · PresidentPres-G2020-10-281,000R+2.1D+1.2R+3.3
2020OH · PresidentPres-G2020-10-281,000R+2.9R+8.0D+5.1
2020NC · PresidentPres-G2020-10-281,000R+2.2R+1.4R+0.8
2020MI · PresidentPres-G2020-10-281,000D+0.3D+2.8R+2.5
2020GA · PresidentPres-G2020-10-281,000R+2.5D+0.2R+2.7
2020FL · PresidentPres-G2020-10-281,000R+2.9R+3.4D+0.5
2017GA-6 · HouseHouse-G2017-04-11485D+27.9D+28.4R+0.5

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.