Primary · R primary
Blackburn +17Tennessee · Governor
Marsha Blackburn 45% · John Rose 28% · Monty Fritts 17%
- Field dates
- Aug 1, 2026
- Sample
- 600 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Wick
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 16
- Mean absolute error
- 4.17percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+1.63
- Represented cycles
- 32017–2022
- Current archive
- 12canonical records
- History span
- Apr 11, 2017through Nov 4, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Wick (R)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2017 · 2020 · 2022
16 eligible historical polls across 3 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 12 total
Race
Ossoff +3.8Georgia · Senate
Don't know 10.4% · Mike Collins 42.9% · Jon Ossoff 46.7%
- Field dates
- Jun 27–Jun 30, 2026
- Sample
- 1,175 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Don't know 14.1% · Keisha Lance Bottoms 42.7% · Rick Jackson 43.2%
- Field dates
- Jun 27–Jun 30, 2026
- Sample
- 1,175 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Platner +2.2Maine · Senate
Don't know 7% · Graham Platner 47.6% · Susan Collins 45.4%
- Field dates
- Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026
- Sample
- 1,008 LV
- Sponsor / client
- 2Way
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +3Generic ballot
Dem 42% · Rep 39%
- Field dates
- Apr 29–Apr 30, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +1.9Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 47% · Disapprove 48.9%
- Field dates
- May 26–May 28, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +2Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 47% · Disapprove 49%
- Field dates
- May 8–May 9, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +8Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 43% · Disapprove 51%
- Field dates
- Apr 29–Apr 30, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate
Ossoff +3.8Georgia · Senate
Jon Ossoff 46.7% · Mike Collins 42.9%
- Field dates
- Jun 27–Jun 30, 2026
- Sample
- 1,175 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor
Jackson +0.5Georgia · Governor
Rick Jackson 43.2% · Keisha Lance Bottoms 42.7%
- Field dates
- Jun 27–Jun 30, 2026
- Sample
- 1,175 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate
Platner +2.2Maine · Senate
Graham Platner 47.6% · Susan Collins 45.4%
- Field dates
- Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026
- Sample
- 1,008 LV
- Sponsor / client
- 2Way
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor
Spanberger +10.4GOV-VA
Abigail Spanberger 50.4% · Winsome Earle-Sears 40% · Donna Charles 2.2%
- Field dates
- Jul 9–Jul 11, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 LV
- Sponsor / client
- League of American Workers
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
16 shown · 16 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2022-11-04 | 725 | R+0.1 | D+9.1 | R+9.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2022-11-04 | 725 | R+10.6 | R+15.6 | D+5.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,089 | R+4.1 | R+1.0 | R+3.1 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_AZ | Sen-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,122 | D+2.3 | D+4.9 | R+2.6 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_WI | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,089 | R+0.3 | D+3.4 | R+3.7 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_MI | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,137 | D+1.3 | D+10.5 | R+9.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_AZ | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 1,122 | R+2.4 | D+0.7 | R+3.1 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_PA | Sen-G | 2022-10-27 | 1,000 | R+1.7 | D+4.9 | R+6.6 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_PA | Gov-G | 2022-10-27 | 1,000 | D+5.9 | D+14.8 | R+8.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 1,000 | R+2.1 | D+1.2 | R+3.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 1,000 | R+2.9 | R+8.0 | D+5.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NC | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 1,000 | R+2.2 | R+1.4 | R+0.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MI | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 1,000 | D+0.3 | D+2.8 | R+2.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_GA | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 1,000 | R+2.5 | D+0.2 | R+2.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 1,000 | R+2.9 | R+3.4 | D+0.5 |
| 2017 | 2017_House-OS_GA-6 | House-G | 2017-04-11 | 485 | D+27.9 | D+28.4 | R+0.5 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.