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FORECAST55 DAYS OUT
← Pollster performance
Current archive

Tavern Research

63 sourced current-cycle records. No graded historical record is available for this canonical identity.

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Alme +16

Reilly Neill 42% · Kurt Alme 58%

Field dates
May 13–May 18, 2026
Sample
607 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Alme +20

Reilly Neill 24% · Seth Bodnar 26% · Tom Jandron 3% · Kurt Alme 46%

Field dates
May 13–May 18, 2026
Sample
607 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Ricketts +16

Don't know 16% · William J. Forbes 34% · Pete Ricketts 50%

Field dates
May 8–May 11, 2026
Sample
1,165 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Ricketts +9

Don't know 13% · Cindy Burbank 39% · Pete Ricketts 48%

Field dates
May 8–May 11, 2026
Sample
1,165 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Osborn +5

Don't know 12% · Dan Osborn 47% · Pete Ricketts 42%

Field dates
May 8–May 11, 2026
Sample
1,165 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Ricketts +7

Don't know 9% · Generic Democrat 42% · Pete Ricketts 49%

Field dates
May 8–May 11, 2026
Sample
1,165 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Marshall +10

Noah Taylor 45% · Roger Marshall 55%

Field dates
Jan 26–Jan 28, 2026
Sample
1,013 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Marshall +8

Generic Democrat 46% · Roger Marshall 54%

Field dates
Jan 26–Jan 28, 2026
Sample
1,013 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic +24

Generic Candidate 62% · Generic Democrat 38%

Field dates
Jan 26–Jan 28, 2026
Sample
1,013 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic +8

Generic Candidate 54% · Roger Marshall 46%

Field dates
Jan 26–Jan 28, 2026
Sample
1,013 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Marshall +8

Patrick Schmidt 46% · Roger Marshall 54%

Field dates
Jan 26–Jan 28, 2026
Sample
1,013 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Marshall +8

Roger Marshall 54% · Adam Hamilton 46%

Field dates
Jan 26–Jan 28, 2026
Sample
1,013 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.