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FORECAST55 DAYS OUT
← Pollster performance
Current archive

Tavern Research

63 sourced current-cycle records. No graded historical record is available for this canonical identity.

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Race

HOU-WI-06

Grothman +22

Generic Democrat 39% · Glenn Grothman 61%

Field dates
May 18–May 28, 2026
Sample
437 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-WI-06

Grothman +10

Michael Thurow 45% · Glenn Grothman 55%

Field dates
May 18–May 28, 2026
Sample
437 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-AK-01

Begich +4

Bill Hill 48% · Nick Begich 52%

Field dates
May 18–May 27, 2026
Sample
452 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-AK-01

Begich +10

Matt Schultz 45% · Nick Begich 55%

Field dates
May 18–May 27, 2026
Sample
452 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-AK-01

Begich +10

Generic Democrat 45% · Nick Begich 55%

Field dates
May 18–May 27, 2026
Sample
452 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-WA-05

Baumgartner +6

Generic Democrat 47% · Michael Baumgartner 53%

Field dates
May 18–May 25, 2026
Sample
578 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-WA-05

Powell +6

Nate Powell 53% · Michael Baumgartner 47%

Field dates
May 18–May 25, 2026
Sample
578 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-WA-05

Baumgartner +6

Carmela Conroy 47% · Michael Baumgartner 53%

Field dates
May 18–May 25, 2026
Sample
578 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-WA-05

Baumgartner +8

Bajun Mavalwalla 46% · Michael Baumgartner 54%

Field dates
May 18–May 25, 2026
Sample
578 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-WA-05

Baumgartner +8

David Womack 46% · Michael Baumgartner 54%

Field dates
May 18–May 25, 2026
Sample
578 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Alme +12

Generic Democrat 44% · Kurt Alme 56%

Field dates
May 13–May 18, 2026
Sample
607 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Tied

Seth Bodnar 50% · Kurt Alme 50%

Field dates
May 13–May 18, 2026
Sample
607 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.