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Pollster file

SurveyUSA

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
698
Mean absolute error
4.21percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.01
Represented cycles
221998–2024
Current archive
40canonical records
History span
Oct 21, 1998through Oct 26, 2024
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
SurveyUSA (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
1998 · 2000 · 2001 · 2002 · 2003 · 2004 · 2005 · 2006 · 2007 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2014 · 2015 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024

698 eligible historical polls across 22 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 40 total

Flanagan +3

Rebecca Whiting 2% · Marisa Simonetti 2% · Don't know 9% · Michele Tafoya 42% · Peggy Flanagan 45%

Field dates
Oct 9–Oct 12, 2026
Sample
718 LV
Sponsor / client
KSTP-TV Minneapolis
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Klobuchar +7

Steven Young 3% · Don't know 8% · Lisa Demuth 41% · Amy Klobuchar 48%

Field dates
Oct 9–Oct 12, 2026
Sample
718 LV
Sponsor / client
KSTP-TV Minneapolis
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cooper +14

Someone else 1% · Don't know 5% · Michael Whatley 40% · Roy Cooper 54%

Field dates
Oct 7–Oct 11, 2026
Sample
643 LV
Sponsor / client
WRAL News | WSOC-TV
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Luján +18

Don't know 10% · Larry Marker 36% · Ben Ray Luján 54%

Field dates
Sep 25–Sep 30, 2026
Sample
567 LV
Sponsor / client
KOB-TV (Albuquerque)
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Becerra +22

Don't know 12% · Xavier Becerra 55% · Steve Hilton 33%

Field dates
Sep 15–Sep 20, 2026
Sample
742 LV
Sponsor / client
ABC 10 News | KGTV-TV (California) | San Diego Union-Tribune
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Tied

Don't know 12% · Marisa Simonetti 2% · Rebecca Whiting 2% · Peggy Flanagan 42% · Michele Tafoya 42%

Field dates
Sep 9–Sep 14, 2026
Sample
654 LV
Sponsor / client
KSTP-TV Minneapolis
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Klobuchar +7

Don't know 9% · Steven Young 3% · Amy Klobuchar 47% · Lisa Demuth 40%

Field dates
Sep 9–Sep 14, 2026
Sample
654 LV
Sponsor / client
KSTP-TV Minneapolis
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Powell +4

Don't know 9% · Someone else 4% · Denise Powell 46% · Brinker Harding 42%

Field dates
Sep 8–Sep 13, 2026
Sample
182 LV
Sponsor / client
Grant Forbes, LLC
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Johnson +2

Don't know 10% · Jake Johnson 46% · Brad Finstad 44%

Field dates
Oct 4–Oct 12, 2026
Sample
565 LV
Sponsor / client
ABC6
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Wilpert +9

Don't know 15% · Marni von Wilpert 47% · Jim Desmond 38%

Field dates
Oct 1–Oct 7, 2026
Sample
518 LV
Sponsor / client
KGTV-TV (California) | San Diego Union-Tribune
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Haaland +6

Don't know 12% · Gregg Hull 41% · Deb Haaland 47%

Field dates
Sep 25–Sep 30, 2026
Sample
567 LV
Sponsor / client
KOB-TV (Albuquerque)
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 698 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-26—0R+3.2D+3.2
2022GA · SenateSen-G2022-11-281,214D+3.0D+2.8D+0.2
2022GA · SenateSen-G2022-10-311,171D+6.0D+1.0D+5.0
2022ME-2 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-31544D+3.0D+3.7R+0.7
2022ME · GovernorGov-G2022-10-311,116D+6.0D+13.2R+7.2
2022GA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-311,171R+7.0R+7.5D+0.5
2022MO · SenateSen-G2022-10-30791R+9.0R+13.3D+4.3
2022CA-49 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-29568D+6.0D+5.3D+0.7
2022MN · GovernorGov-G2022-10-28836D+8.0D+7.7D+0.3
2022NM · GovernorGov-G2022-10-24650D+7.0D+6.4D+0.6
2022NC-13 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-23584D+1.0D+3.2R+2.2
2022MN-1 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-22563R+9.0R+11.5D+2.5
2022MN-1 · HouseHouse-G2022-07-28544R+8.0R+4.0R+4.0
2020GA · SenateSen-G2020-12-18600D+7.0D+2.1D+4.9
2020GA · SenateSen-G2020-12-18600D+5.0D+1.2D+3.8
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-10-301,265D+8.0D+4.5D+3.5
2020NC · SenateSen-G2020-10-25627D+3.0R+1.8D+4.8
2020MN · SenateSen-G2020-10-25649D+3.0D+5.2R+2.2
2020ME · SenateSen-G2020-10-251,007D+1.5R+8.6D+10.1
2020NC · PresidentPres-G2020-10-256270R+1.4D+1.4
2020MN · PresidentPres-G2020-10-25649D+5.0D+7.1R+2.1
2020ME · PresidentPres-G2020-10-251,007D+13.0D+9.1D+3.9
2020M2 · PresidentPres-G2020-10-25509D+2.9R+7.4D+10.3
2020M1 · PresidentPres-G2020-10-25498D+19.0D+23.1R+4.1
2020NC · GovernorGov-G2020-10-25637D+11.0D+4.5D+6.5
2020CA-50 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-24538R+11.0R+7.9R+3.1
2020MN · SenateSen-G2020-10-18625D+1.0D+5.2R+4.2
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-10-181,136D+10.0D+4.5D+5.5
2020MN · PresidentPres-G2020-10-18625D+6.0D+7.1R+1.1
2018CA · GovernorGov-G2018-11-02924D+15.0D+23.9R+8.9
2018CA-49 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-31500D+7.0D+12.8R+5.8
2018MN · SenateSen-G2018-10-30600D+23.0D+24.1R+1.1
2018MN · SenateSen-G2018-10-30600D+8.0D+10.6R+2.6
2018MN · GovernorGov-G2018-10-30600D+8.0D+11.4R+3.4
2018NY-19 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-286090D+5.2R+5.2
2018CA-50 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-27547R+3.0R+3.4D+0.4
2018NC-2 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-26565R+9.0R+5.5R+3.5
2018FL · SenateSen-G2018-10-20665D+8.0R+0.1D+8.1
2018FL · GovernorGov-G2018-10-20665D+7.0R+0.4D+7.4
2018MN-1 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-18586D+2.0R+0.5D+2.5
2017GA-6 · HouseHouse-G2017-06-095030R+3.6D+3.6
2017GA-6 · HouseHouse-G2017-03-30503D+28.0D+28.4R+0.3
2016WA · SenateSen-G2016-11-01667D+12.0D+18.0R+6.0
2016WA · PresidentPres-G2016-11-01681D+12.0D+16.2R+4.2
2016WA · GovernorGov-G2016-11-01667D+7.0D+8.8R+1.8
2016NC · SenateSen-G2016-10-30659R+6.0R+5.7R+0.3
2016NC · PresidentPres-G2016-10-30659R+7.0R+3.7R+3.3
2016CA · PresidentPres-G2016-10-30747D+21.0D+30.1R+9.1
2016NC · GovernorGov-G2016-10-30659D+1.0D+0.2D+0.8
2016NY-19 · HouseHouse-G2016-10-29598D+3.0R+8.1D+11.1

1 further row is held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.