Generic ballot
Dem +6.9Generic ballot
Dem 49.7% · Rep 42.8%
- Field dates
- Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026
- Sample
- 1,200 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Quantus Insights
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 8
- Mean absolute error
- 6.38percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+2.32
- Represented cycles
- 22024–2025
- Current archive
- 97canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 2024through Nov 3, 2025
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Quantus Insights (R)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2024 · 2025
8 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 97 total
Race
Landsman +3.3HOU-OH-01
Someone else 2.4% · Don't know 5.1% · Eric Conroy 44.6% · Greg Landsman 47.9%
- Field dates
- Aug 21–Aug 24, 2026
- Sample
- 509 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Don't know 6% · Someone else 1.7% · Andy Biggs 43.2% · Katie Hobbs 49.1%
- Field dates
- Aug 14–Aug 17, 2026
- Sample
- 780 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +6.4Generic ballot
Dem 49% · Rep 42.6%
- Field dates
- Aug 3–Aug 4, 2026
- Sample
- 1,048 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Don't know 7.7% · Someone else 1% · Rick Jackson 44.9% · Keisha Lance Bottoms 46.4%
- Field dates
- Jul 29–Aug 1, 2026
- Sample
- 815 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Natural Gas Association of Georgia
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Donalds +34Florida · Governor
Jay Collins 16% · Byron Donalds 50% · James Fishback 12% · Paul Renner 4%
- Field dates
- Jul 29, 2026
- Sample
- 635 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Generic ballot
Dem +4.8Generic ballot
Dem 47.1% · Rep 42.3%
- Field dates
- Jul 3–Jul 7, 2026
- Sample
- 1,140 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
El-Sayed +5Michigan · Senate
Abdul El-Sayed 41% · Haley Stevens 36%
- Field dates
- Jun 30, 2026
- Sample
- 947 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Someone else 2.5% · Don't know 7.8% · Mallory McMorrow 44.4% · Mike Rogers 45.3%
- Field dates
- Jun 29–Jun 30, 2026
- Sample
- 947 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Someone else 2.8% · Don't know 8.4% · Mike Rogers 43.7% · Haley Stevens 45.1%
- Field dates
- Jun 29–Jun 30, 2026
- Sample
- 947 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Someone else 2.5% · Don't know 8.2% · Abdul El-Sayed 45.2% · Mike Rogers 44.1%
- Field dates
- Jun 29–Jun 30, 2026
- Sample
- 947 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Platner +1Maine · Senate
Someone else 2% · Don't know 7% · Susan Collins 45% · Graham Platner 46%
- Field dates
- Jun 9–Jun 11, 2026
- Sample
- 870 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
8 shown · 8 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | VA · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-11-03 | — | D+9.0 | D+15.4 | R+6.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Attorney general | AG-G | 2025-11-03 | — | 0 | D+6.7 | R+6.7 |
| 2025 | NJ · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-27 | — | D+3.0 | D+14.4 | R+11.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-20 | — | D+5.0 | D+15.4 | R+10.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Attorney general | AG-G | 2025-10-20 | — | R+7.0 | D+6.7 | R+13.7 |
| 2024 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-29 | — | 0 | R+0.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2024 | MI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-28 | — | 0 | R+1.4 | D+1.4 |
| 2024 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-17 | — | R+2.0 | R+1.7 | R+0.3 |
3 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.