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Pollster file

Public Policy Polling

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls: 333
Mean absolute error: 4.15percentage points
Historical bias: D+0.99
Represented cycles: 112008–2022
Current archive: 154canonical records
History span: Oct 17, 2008through Oct 20, 2022

Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases: Public Policy Polling (D)
Organization type: Single canonical organization
Cycles represented: 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022

333 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 154 total

Race

HOU-MI-10

Bouchard +2

Mike Bouchard 43% · Eric Chung 41%

Field dates: Jan 16–Jan 17, 2026
Sample: 592 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Race

Alaska · Senate

Peltola +2

Don't know 4% · Dan Sullivan 47% · Mary Peltola 49%

Field dates: Jan 16–Jan 17, 2026
Sample: 611 RV
Sponsor / client: DSCC
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Primary · D primary

Kansas · Governor

Holscher +24

Ethan Corson 9% · Cindy Holscher 33%

Field dates: Jan 9, 2026
Sample: 699 V
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Race

Kentucky · Senate

Morris +1

Don't know 19% · Nate Morris 41% · Charles Booker 40%

Field dates: Dec 18–Dec 19, 2025
Sample: 650 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Race

Kentucky · Senate

Cameron +7

Don't know 14% · Daniel Cameron 46% · Charles Booker 39%

Field dates: Dec 18–Dec 19, 2025
Sample: 650 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Race

Kentucky · Senate

Republican +16

Don't know 15% · Generic Republican 51% · Amy McGrath 35%

Field dates: Dec 18–Dec 19, 2025
Sample: 648 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Race

Kentucky · Senate

Barr +11

Don't know 13% · Andy Barr 49% · Charles Booker 38%

Field dates: Dec 18–Dec 19, 2025
Sample: 650 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Race

Kentucky · Senate

Republican +14

Don't know 14% · Generic Republican 50% · Charles Booker 36%

Field dates: Dec 18–Dec 19, 2025
Sample: 649 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Race

HOU-NY-01

LaLota +3

Don't know 20% · Nicholas J. LaLota 41% · Chris Gallant 38%

Field dates: Dec 10–Dec 11, 2025
Sample: 579 RV
Sponsor / client: House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Race

HOU-SC-01

Smith +3

Mark Smith 39% · Mac Deford 36%

Field dates: Dec 5–Dec 6, 2025
Sample: 645 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Primary · D primary

Florida · Governor

Tied

Jerry Demings 22% · David Jolly 22%

Field dates: Dec 3, 2025
Sample: 616 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Race

South Carolina · Senate

Graham +6

Annie Andrews 36% · Lindsey Graham 42%

Field dates: Nov 21–Nov 22, 2025
Sample: 704 RV
Sponsor / client: 314 Action
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →

Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 333 total

Cycle	Race	Type	Field end	Sample	Poll	Result	Error
2022	2022_Sen-G_WA	Sen-G	2022-10-20	782	D+10.0	D+14.6	R+4.5
2020	2020_Sen-G_IA	Sen-G	2020-11-02	871	D+1.0	R+6.6	D+7.6
2020	2020_Pres-G_IA	Pres-G	2020-11-02	871	D+1.0	R+8.2	D+9.2
2020	2020_Sen-G_MN	Sen-G	2020-10-30	770	D+9.0	D+5.2	D+3.8
2020	2020_Sen-G_MI	Sen-G	2020-10-30	745	D+10.0	D+1.7	D+8.3
2020	2020_Pres-G_MN	Pres-G	2020-10-30	770	D+11.0	D+7.1	D+3.9
2020	2020_Pres-G_MI	Pres-G	2020-10-30	745	D+10.0	D+2.8	D+7.2
2020	2020_Pres-G_TX	Pres-G	2020-10-29	775	D+2.0	R+5.6	D+7.6
2020	2020_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2020-10-29	1,012	D+7.0	D+1.2	D+5.8
2020	2020_Pres-G_FL	Pres-G	2020-10-29	941	D+7.0	R+3.4	D+10.4
2020	2020_House-G_NC-9	House-G	2020-10-29	750	R+2.0	R+11.2	D+9.2
2020	2020_Sen-OS_GA	Sen-G	2020-10-28	661	D+19.0	D+7.0	D+12.0
2020	2020_Sen-G_GA	Sen-G	2020-10-28	661	D+3.0	R+1.8	D+4.8
2020	2020_Pres-G_GA	Pres-G	2020-10-28	661	D+2.0	D+0.2	D+1.8
2020	2020_Sen-G_NC	Sen-G	2020-10-27	937	D+3.0	R+1.8	D+4.8
2020	2020_Sen-G_MT	Sen-G	2020-10-27	886	D+1.0	R+10.0	D+11.0
2020	2020_Pres-G_NC	Pres-G	2020-10-27	937	D+4.0	R+1.4	D+5.3
2020	2020_Pres-G_MT	Pres-G	2020-10-27	886	R+2.0	R+16.4	D+14.4
2020	2020_House-G_AZ-6	House-G	2020-10-27	582	D+4.0	R+4.3	D+8.3
2020	2020_Sen-G_MI	Sen-G	2020-10-22	804	D+9.0	D+1.7	D+7.3
2020	2020_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2020-10-22	890	D+5.0	D+1.2	D+3.8
2020	2020_Pres-G_MI	Pres-G	2020-10-22	804	D+7.0	D+2.8	D+4.2
2020	2020_House-G_VA-5	House-G	2020-10-22	910	D+3.0	R+5.2	D+8.2
2020	2020_Sen-G_KS	Sen-G	2020-10-20	897	0	R+11.4	D+11.4
2020	2020_Sen-G_AK	Sen-G	2020-10-20	800	R+3.0	R+12.7	D+9.7
2020	2020_Pres-G_KS	Pres-G	2020-10-20	897	R+12.0	R+14.7	D+2.6
2020	2020_Pres-G_AK	Pres-G	2020-10-20	800	R+5.0	R+10.1	D+5.1
2020	2020_Sen-G_TX	Sen-G	2020-10-15	712	R+3.0	R+9.6	D+6.6
2020	2020_Pres-G_WA	Pres-G	2020-10-15	610	D+23.0	D+19.3	D+3.7
2020	2020_House-G_OH-12	House-G	2020-10-15	818	R+4.0	R+13.5	D+9.5
2020	2020_Gov-G_WA	Gov-G	2020-10-15	610	D+16.0	D+13.5	D+2.5
2020	2020_House-G_NY-24	House-G	2020-10-14	789	D+2.0	R+10.2	D+12.2
2018	2018_Gov-G_KS	Gov-G	2018-10-20	698	0	D+5.1	R+5.1
2018	2018_Sen-G_NV	Sen-G	2018-10-16	648	D+2.0	D+5.1	R+3.1
2018	2018_House-G_GA-3	House-G	2018-10-16	681	R+30.0	R+31.1	D+1.1
2018	2018_House-GS_OH-12	House-G	2018-07-28	617	R+4.0	R+0.8	R+3.2
2016	2016_Sen-G_CO	Sen-G	2016-11-04	704	D+10.0	D+5.7	D+4.3
2016	2016_Pres-G_VA	Pres-G	2016-11-04	1,238	D+5.5	D+5.4	D+0.1
2016	2016_Pres-G_MI	Pres-G	2016-11-04	957	D+5.5	R+0.2	D+5.7
2016	2016_Pres-G_CO	Pres-G	2016-11-04	704	D+5.0	D+4.9	D+0.1
2016	2016_Pres-G_MO	Pres-G	2016-11-02	871	R+13.0	R+18.6	D+5.6
2016	2016_Gov-G_MO	Gov-G	2016-11-02	871	D+3.0	R+5.6	D+8.6
2016	2016_Sen-G_WI	Sen-G	2016-11-01	891	D+5.0	R+3.4	D+8.4
2016	2016_Sen-G_PA	Sen-G	2016-11-01	1,050	D+2.0	R+1.4	D+3.4
2016	2016_Sen-G_NV	Sen-G	2016-11-01	688	D+3.0	D+2.5	D+0.5
2016	2016_Sen-G_NH	Sen-G	2016-11-01	781	D+3.0	D+0.1	D+2.9
2016	2016_Sen-G_NC	Sen-G	2016-11-01	1,169	R+3.0	R+5.7	D+2.7
2016	2016_Sen-G_MO	Sen-G	2016-11-01	1,083	R+2.0	R+2.8	D+0.8
2016	2016_Pres-G_WI	Pres-G	2016-11-01	891	D+7.0	R+0.8	D+7.8
2016	2016_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2016-11-01	1,050	D+4.0	R+0.7	D+4.7

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.