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Pollster file

Emerson College

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
230
Mean absolute error
4.19percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.37
Represented cycles
112013–2025
Current archive
141canonical records
History span
Jun 20, 2013through Oct 31, 2025
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Emerson · Emerson College (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2019 · 2020 · 2021 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025

230 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 141 total

Hunt +3.5

Don't know 9.3% · Wesley Hunt 47.1% · James Talarico 43.6%

Field dates
Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026
Sample
1,165 RV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Abbott +7.9

Don't know 7.5% · Greg Abbott 50.2% · Gina Hinojosa 42.3%

Field dates
Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026
Sample
1,165 RV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Hunt +5.4

Don't know 9.3% · Wesley Hunt 48% · Jasmine Crockett 42.6%

Field dates
Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026
Sample
1,165 RV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cornyn +2.8

Don't know 9% · John Cornyn 46.9% · James Talarico 44.1%

Field dates
Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026
Sample
1,165 RV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Tied

Don't know 8.8% · Ken Paxton 45.6% · James Talarico 45.6%

Field dates
Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026
Sample
1,165 RV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +1.8

Dem 43.5% · Rep 41.7%

Field dates
Dec 14–Dec 15, 2025
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Husted +2.5

Don't know 4.9% · Jon Husted 48.8% · Sherrod Brown 46.3%

Field dates
Dec 6–Dec 8, 2025
Sample
850 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Acton +0.7

Don't know 8.9% · Vivek Ramaswamy 45.2% · Amy Acton 45.9%

Field dates
Dec 6–Dec 8, 2025
Sample
850 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Tied

Don't know 17.7% · Joe Lombardo 41.1% · Aaron Ford 41.1%

Field dates
Nov 16–Nov 18, 2025
Sample
800 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Hobbs +0.7

Don't know 12.5% · Katie Hobbs 44.1% · Andy Biggs 43.4%

Field dates
Nov 8–Nov 10, 2025
Sample
850 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Hobbs +1

Don't know 15% · Katie Hobbs 43% · Karrin Taylor Robson 42%

Field dates
Nov 8–Nov 10, 2025
Sample
850 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Hobbs +5

Don't know 16% · Katie Hobbs 44% · David Schweikert 39%

Field dates
Nov 8–Nov 10, 2025
Sample
850 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 230 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20222022_House-G_NM-3House-G2022-10-27326D+18.1D+16.3D+1.8
20222022_House-G_NM-2House-G2022-10-27302R+10.6D+0.7R+11.3
20222022_House-G_NM-1House-G2022-10-27372D+11.4D+11.5R+0.1
20222022_Gov-G_OKGov-G2022-10-271,000R+9.6R+13.7D+4.1
20222022_Gov-G_NMGov-G2022-10-271,000D+1.6D+6.4R+4.8
20222022_Sen-G_NYSen-G2022-10-221,000D+13.2D+14.0R+0.8
20222022_Sen-G_ILSen-G2022-10-221,000D+9.8D+15.3R+5.5
20222022_Gov-G_NYGov-G2022-10-221,000D+7.2D+6.4D+0.8
20222022_Gov-G_ILGov-G2022-10-221,000D+9.3D+12.5R+3.2
20222022_Sen-G_SDSen-G2022-10-201,500R+31.0R+43.5D+12.5
20222022_Sen-G_CTSen-G2022-10-201,000D+12.3D+14.9R+2.6
20222022_House-G_CT-5House-G2022-10-20500R+0.7D+0.8R+1.5
20222022_Gov-G_SDGov-G2022-10-201,500R+18.9R+26.8D+7.9
20222022_Gov-G_CTGov-G2022-10-201,000D+10.7D+12.8R+2.1
20222022_Sen-G_NHSen-G2022-10-19727D+4.1D+9.1R+5.0
20222022_House-G_USHouse-G2022-10-191,000R+4.9R+2.7R+2.2
20222022_Gov-G_NHGov-G2022-10-19727R+12.9R+15.6D+2.7
20222022_Gov-G_TXGov-G2022-10-181,000R+9.7R+10.9D+1.2
20212021_Gov-G_VAGov-G2021-10-23875D+0.9R+1.9D+2.8
20212021_Gov-G_NJGov-G2021-10-17600D+4.4D+3.2D+1.2
20212021_House-GS_OH-15House-G2021-10-15445R+11.1R+16.6D+5.5
20202020_Sen-GSR_GASen-G2020-12-15605R+2.4D+2.1R+4.5
20202020_Sen-GR_GASen-G2020-12-15605R+2.0D+1.2R+3.2
20202020_Sen-OS_GASen-G2020-10-30749D+14.4D+7.0D+7.4
20202020_Sen-G_TXSen-G2020-10-30763R+4.0R+9.6D+5.6
20202020_Sen-G_NCSen-G2020-10-30855D+3.2R+1.8D+5.0
20202020_Sen-G_MISen-G2020-10-30700D+5.8D+1.7D+4.1
20202020_Sen-G_MESen-G2020-10-30611D+1.8R+8.6D+10.4
20202020_Sen-G_IASen-G2020-10-30604D+3.1R+6.6D+9.7
20202020_Sen-G_GASen-G2020-10-30749D+1.3R+1.8D+3.1
20202020_Sen-GS_AZSen-G2020-10-30732D+2.7D+2.4D+0.3
20202020_Pres-G_WIPres-G2020-10-30751D+7.3D+0.6D+6.7
20202020_Pres-G_TXPres-G2020-10-30763R+1.0R+5.6D+4.6
20202020_Pres-G_PAPres-G2020-10-30823D+4.9D+1.2D+3.7
20202020_Pres-G_OHPres-G2020-10-30656D+0.9R+8.0D+8.9
20202020_Pres-G_NVPres-G2020-10-30720D+1.7D+2.4R+0.7
20202020_Pres-G_NCPres-G2020-10-30855D+0.3R+1.4D+1.6
20202020_Pres-G_N2Pres-G2020-10-30806D+2.6D+6.5R+3.9
20202020_Pres-G_MIPres-G2020-10-30700D+6.5D+2.8D+3.7
20202020_Pres-G_MEPres-G2020-10-30611D+11.4D+9.1D+2.3
20202020_Pres-G_M2Pres-G2020-10-30301D+3.0R+7.4D+10.4
20202020_Pres-G_M1Pres-G2020-10-30310D+19.0D+23.1R+4.1
20202020_Pres-G_IAPres-G2020-10-30604R+1.2R+8.2D+7.0
20202020_Pres-G_GAPres-G2020-10-30749R+0.6D+0.2R+0.8
20202020_Pres-G_FLPres-G2020-10-30849D+5.8R+3.4D+9.2
20202020_Pres-G_AZPres-G2020-10-30732D+2.1D+0.3D+1.8
20202020_House-G_NE-2House-G2020-10-30806R+3.0R+4.6D+1.6
20202020_Gov-G_NCGov-G2020-10-30855D+9.9D+4.5D+5.4
20202020_Pres-G_USPres-G2020-10-261,121D+4.2D+4.5R+0.3
20202020_Sen-G_IASen-G2020-10-20435R+4.1R+6.6D+2.5

5 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (NYC-G · Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.