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Pollster file

Cygnal

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
41
Mean absolute error
3.78percentage points
Historical bias
D+1.92
Represented cycles
82014–2024
Current archive
56canonical records
History span
Oct 14, 2014through Oct 26, 2024
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Cygnal (D) · Cygnal (R) · Cygnal Political · Cyngal
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2019 · 2020 · 2021 · 2022 · 2024

41 eligible historical polls across 8 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 56 total

Moore +14.8

Don't know 15.3% · Everett Wess 35% · Barry Moore 49.8%

Field dates
Oct 16–Oct 17, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Alabama Daily News | Gray Television
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +9

Dem 51% · Rep 42%

Field dates
Oct 7–Oct 10, 2026
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +9.1

Dem 51.6% · Rep 42.5%

Field dates
Oct 1–Oct 2, 2026
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Tuberville +11.2

Don't know 8.9% · Doug Jones 40% · Tommy Tuberville 51.2%

Field dates
Oct 16–Oct 17, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Alabama Daily News | Gray Television
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +6.9

Dem 48.8% · Rep 41.9%

Field dates
Aug 6–Aug 7, 2026
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Kreiss-Tomkins +20

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 44% · Bernadette Wilson 24% · David Bronson 8% · Treg Taylor 9%

Field dates
Sep 24–Sep 27, 2026
Sample
502 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Sand +3.4

Don't know 7.8% · Rob Sand 47.8% · Zach Lahn 44.4%

Field dates
Sep 9–Sep 11, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Tied

Don't know 10.6% · Thomas Laehn 3.6% · Josh Turek 42.9% · Ashley Hinson 42.9%

Field dates
Sep 9–Sep 11, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +8.6

Dem 50.7% · Rep 42.1%

Field dates
Sep 1–Sep 2, 2026
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Approve +2.2

Approve 49.8% · Disapprove 47.6%

Field dates
Feb 4–Feb 5, 2025
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Abbott +3

Greg Abbott 49% · Gina Hinojosa 46%

Field dates
Jul 29–Jul 31, 2026
Sample
800 LV
Sponsor / client
Uknown Sponsor
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

41 shown · 41 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-26—D+3.0R+1.5D+4.5
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-15—0R+3.2D+3.2
2022MI · GovernorGov-G2022-11-031,603D+3.7D+10.5R+6.8
2022OH · SenateSen-G2022-11-021,498R+6.2R+6.1R+0.1
2022NV · SenateSen-G2022-11-02600R+2.5D+0.8R+3.3
2022OH · GovernorGov-G2022-11-021,498R+18.9R+25.0D+6.1
2022NV · GovernorGov-G2022-11-02600R+5.0R+1.5R+3.5
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-292,015R+3.1R+2.7R+0.4
2022MI · GovernorGov-G2022-10-291,584D+6.4D+10.5R+4.1
2022OH · SenateSen-G2022-10-281,510R+4.5R+6.1D+1.6
2022AL · SenateSen-G2022-10-28616R+29.6R+35.8D+6.2
2022OH · GovernorGov-G2022-10-281,510R+20.5R+25.0D+4.5
2022AL · GovernorGov-G2022-10-28616R+34.2R+38.0D+3.8
2022IA · SenateSen-G2022-10-27600R+11.2R+12.2D+1.0
2022IA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-27600R+19.0R+18.5R+0.5
2022MI · GovernorGov-G2022-10-231,378D+6.1D+10.5R+4.4
2022OH · SenateSen-G2022-10-221,886R+4.1R+6.1D+2.0
2022OH · GovernorGov-G2022-10-221,886R+17.6R+25.0D+7.4
2022NC · SenateSen-G2022-10-21600R+3.8R+3.2R+0.6
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-205,502R+1.7R+2.7D+1.0
2021VA · GovernorGov-G2021-10-208160R+1.9D+1.9
2020AL · SenateSen-G2020-10-22645R+13.6R+20.4D+6.8
2020IN · GovernorGov-G2020-10-22600R+18.3R+24.4D+6.2
2020TN · SenateSen-G2020-10-21610R+20.7R+27.0D+6.3
2020NE · SenateSen-G2020-10-20625R+29.9R+38.5D+8.7
2020KY · SenateSen-G2020-10-20640R+10.3R+19.5D+9.2
2020TX · SenateSen-G2020-10-19600R+8.1R+9.6D+1.5
2020MO · GovernorGov-G2020-10-19600R+6.6R+16.4D+9.8
2019LA · GovernorGov-G2019-11-08800D+2.2D+2.7R+0.5
2018OH · SenateSen-G2018-10-31503D+10.4D+6.8D+3.5
2018OH · GovernorGov-G2018-10-31503R+0.2R+3.7D+3.5
2018GA · GovernorGov-G2018-10-29504R+2.2R+1.4R+0.8
2018FL · SenateSen-G2018-10-28495D+1.8R+0.1D+1.9
2018FL · GovernorGov-G2018-10-28495R+0.6R+0.4R+0.2
2018TN · SenateSen-G2018-10-27497R+5.8R+10.8D+5.0
2018MO · SenateSen-G2018-10-27501R+3.0R+5.8D+2.8
2018IN · SenateSen-G2018-10-27505R+2.9R+5.9D+3.0
2018TN · GovernorGov-G2018-10-27497R+22.4R+21.0R+1.4
2016KY · SenateSen-G2016-10-27811R+9.7R+14.6D+4.8
2016KY · PresidentPres-G2016-10-27811R+24.0R+29.8D+5.8
2014AL · GovernorGov-G2014-10-14807R+21.3R+27.4D+6.1

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.