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Pollster file

Cygnal

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
41
Mean absolute error
3.78percentage points
Historical bias
D+1.92
Represented cycles
82014–2024
Current archive
54canonical records
History span
Oct 14, 2014through Oct 26, 2024
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Cygnal (D) · Cygnal (R) · Cygnal Political · Cyngal
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2019 · 2020 · 2021 · 2022 · 2024

41 eligible historical polls across 8 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 54 total

Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +3.4

Dem 47.8% · Rep 44.4%

Field dates
Feb 3–Feb 4, 2026
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +4

Dem 48% · Rep 44%

Field dates
Jan 27–Jan 28, 2026
Sample
1,004 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +3.6

Dem 48.2% · Rep 44.6%

Field dates
Jan 7–Jan 8, 2026
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +3.9

Dem 48% · Rep 44.1%

Field dates
Dec 5–Dec 7, 2025
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Tuberville +18.5

Don't know 13.3% · Doug Jones 34.1% · Tommy Tuberville 52.6%

Field dates
Nov 12–Nov 13, 2025
Sample
605 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Democrat +8

Don't know 11% · Generic Democrat 49% · Susan Collins 41%

Field dates
Nov 10–Nov 11, 2025
Sample
600 LV
Sponsor / client
Plymouth Union Public Advocacy
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +6.1

Dem 49.7% · Rep 43.6%

Field dates
Nov 5–Nov 6, 2025
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +2.2

Dem 47.5% · Rep 45.3%

Field dates
Oct 7–Oct 8, 2025
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cornyn +7

Generic Democrat 40% · John Cornyn 47%

Field dates
Oct 5–Oct 6, 2025
Sample
600 LV
Sponsor / client
Plymouth Union Public Advocacy
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +2.4

Dem 47.6% · Rep 45.2%

Field dates
Sep 2–Sep 3, 2025
Sample
1,500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Republican +12.6

Generic Republican 50.6% · Generic Democrat 38% · Don't know 11.5%

Field dates
Aug 25–Aug 27, 2025
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Conservatives for Clean Energy
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

41 shown · 41 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-26—D+3.0R+1.5D+4.5
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-15—0R+3.2D+3.2
20222022_Gov-G_MIGov-G2022-11-031,603D+3.7D+10.5R+6.8
20222022_Sen-G_OHSen-G2022-11-021,498R+6.2R+6.1R+0.1
20222022_Sen-G_NVSen-G2022-11-02600R+2.5D+0.8R+3.3
20222022_Gov-G_OHGov-G2022-11-021,498R+18.9R+25.0D+6.1
20222022_Gov-G_NVGov-G2022-11-02600R+5.0R+1.5R+3.5
20222022_House-G_USHouse-G2022-10-292,015R+3.1R+2.7R+0.4
20222022_Gov-G_MIGov-G2022-10-291,584D+6.4D+10.5R+4.1
20222022_Sen-G_OHSen-G2022-10-281,510R+4.5R+6.1D+1.6
20222022_Sen-G_ALSen-G2022-10-28616R+29.6R+35.8D+6.2
20222022_Gov-G_OHGov-G2022-10-281,510R+20.5R+25.0D+4.5
20222022_Gov-G_ALGov-G2022-10-28616R+34.2R+38.0D+3.8
20222022_Sen-G_IASen-G2022-10-27600R+11.2R+12.2D+1.0
20222022_Gov-G_IAGov-G2022-10-27600R+19.0R+18.5R+0.5
20222022_Gov-G_MIGov-G2022-10-231,378D+6.1D+10.5R+4.4
20222022_Sen-G_OHSen-G2022-10-221,886R+4.1R+6.1D+2.0
20222022_Gov-G_OHGov-G2022-10-221,886R+17.6R+25.0D+7.4
20222022_Sen-G_NCSen-G2022-10-21600R+3.8R+3.2R+0.6
20222022_House-G_USHouse-G2022-10-205,502R+1.7R+2.7D+1.0
20212021_Gov-G_VAGov-G2021-10-208160R+1.9D+1.9
20202020_Sen-G_ALSen-G2020-10-22645R+13.6R+20.4D+6.8
20202020_Gov-G_INGov-G2020-10-22600R+18.3R+24.4D+6.2
20202020_Sen-G_TNSen-G2020-10-21610R+20.7R+27.0D+6.3
20202020_Sen-G_NESen-G2020-10-20625R+29.9R+38.5D+8.7
20202020_Sen-G_KYSen-G2020-10-20640R+10.3R+19.5D+9.2
20202020_Sen-G_TXSen-G2020-10-19600R+8.1R+9.6D+1.5
20202020_Gov-G_MOGov-G2020-10-19600R+6.6R+16.4D+9.8
20192019_Gov-GR_LAGov-G2019-11-08800D+2.2D+2.7R+0.5
20182018_Sen-G_OHSen-G2018-10-31503D+10.4D+6.8D+3.5
20182018_Gov-G_OHGov-G2018-10-31503R+0.2R+3.7D+3.5
20182018_Gov-G_GAGov-G2018-10-29504R+2.2R+1.4R+0.8
20182018_Sen-G_FLSen-G2018-10-28495D+1.8R+0.1D+1.9
20182018_Gov-G_FLGov-G2018-10-28495R+0.6R+0.4R+0.2
20182018_Sen-G_TNSen-G2018-10-27497R+5.8R+10.8D+5.0
20182018_Sen-G_MOSen-G2018-10-27501R+3.0R+5.8D+2.8
20182018_Sen-G_INSen-G2018-10-27505R+2.9R+5.9D+3.0
20182018_Gov-G_TNGov-G2018-10-27497R+22.4R+21.0R+1.4
20162016_Sen-G_KYSen-G2016-10-27811R+9.7R+14.6D+4.8
20162016_Pres-G_KYPres-G2016-10-27811R+24.0R+29.8D+5.8
20142014_Gov-G_ALGov-G2014-10-14807R+21.3R+27.4D+6.1

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.