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Pollster file

YouGov

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
447
Mean absolute error
4.60percentage points
Historical bias
D+1.01
Represented cycles
142004–2025
Current archive
424canonical records
History span
Oct 12, 2004through Oct 28, 2025
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
CBS News/YouGov · CES/YouGov · Rose Institute/YouGov · The Economist/YouGov · University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov · YouGov/Cooperative Election Study · YouGov/The Economist
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025

447 eligible historical polls across 14 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 424 total

Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +2

Dem 37% · Rep 35%

Field dates
Jun 26–Jun 29, 2026
Sample
1,603 A
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Abbott +7

Don't know 10% · Someone else 2% · Pat Dixon 1% · Gina Hinojosa 40% · Greg Abbott 47%

Field dates
Jun 5–Jun 12, 2026
Sample
1,200 RV
Sponsor / client
University of Texas
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Paxton +1

Don't know 10% · Someone else 3% · Ted Brown 3% · James Talarico 42% · Ken Paxton 43%

Field dates
Jun 5–Jun 12, 2026
Sample
1,200 RV
Sponsor / client
University of Texas
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cooper +13.7

Don't know 15.36% · Someone else 0.11% · Shannon Bray 2.76% · Michael Whatley 34.03% · Roy Cooper 47.73%

Field dates
Jun 1–Jun 10, 2026
Sample
905 LV
Sponsor / client
Catawba College Center for N.C. Politics & Public Service
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Talarico +7

Don't know 19% · Someone else 7% · James Talarico 40% · John Cornyn 33%

Field dates
Apr 10–Apr 20, 2026
Sample
1,200 RV
Sponsor / client
University of Texas
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Talarico +8

Don't know 19% · Someone else 5% · James Talarico 42% · Ken Paxton 34%

Field dates
Apr 10–Apr 20, 2026
Sample
1,200 RV
Sponsor / client
University of Texas
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Abbott +6

Don't know 13% · Someone else 5% · Gina Hinojosa 38% · Greg Abbott 44%

Field dates
Apr 10–Apr 20, 2026
Sample
1,200 RV
Sponsor / client
University of Texas
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +3

Dem 39% · Rep 36%

Field dates
Mar 20–Mar 23, 2026
Sample
1,664 A
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +3

Dem 45% · Rep 42%

Field dates
Mar 20–Mar 23, 2026
Sample
1,501 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cooper +14

Don't know 14% · Someone else 0% · Shannon Bray 4% · Michael Whatley 34% · Roy Cooper 48%

Field dates
Mar 9–Mar 18, 2026
Sample
872 LV
Sponsor / client
Catawba College Center for N.C. Politics & Public Service
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +4

Dem 44% · Rep 40%

Field dates
Mar 12–Mar 16, 2026
Sample
1,147 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +4

Dem 40% · Rep 36%

Field dates
Mar 6–Mar 9, 2026
Sample
1,561 A
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 447 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2025VA · GovernorGov-G2025-10-28—D+15.0D+15.4R+0.4
2025NJ · GovernorGov-G2025-10-28—D+10.0D+14.4R+4.4
2024WI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—D+3.5R+0.9D+4.4
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—D+2.0R+1.7D+3.7
2024NV · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—D+1.0R+3.1D+4.1
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—R+0.5R+3.2D+2.7
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—D+3.0R+1.4D+4.4
2024GA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—R+2.0R+2.2D+0.2
2024AZ · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—R+1.0R+5.5D+4.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-29—D+2.0R+1.5D+3.5
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-28—0R+1.7D+1.7
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+2.5R+1.5D+4.0
2024WI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+5.0R+0.9D+5.9
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+3.0R+1.7D+4.7
2024NV · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+9.0R+3.1D+12.1
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+1.0R+3.2D+4.2
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+7.0R+1.4D+8.4
2024GA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—R+1.0R+2.2D+1.2
2024AZ · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—0R+5.5D+5.5
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-24—D+4.0R+1.4D+5.4
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-23—D+1.0R+1.7D+2.7
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-23—R+2.0R+3.2D+1.2
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-22—D+3.0R+1.5D+4.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-21—D+3.0R+1.5D+4.5
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-17—D+2.0R+1.7D+3.7
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-15—D+4.0R+1.5D+5.5
20222022_House-G_USHouse-G2022-11-051,071R+1.0R+2.7D+1.7
20222022_House-G_USHouse-G2022-10-311,1010R+2.7D+2.7
20222022_House-G_USHouse-G2022-10-291,172D+2.0R+2.7D+4.7
20222022_House-G_USHouse-G2022-10-271,899R+2.0R+2.7D+0.7
20222022_Sen-G_FLSen-G2022-10-261,117R+7.0R+16.4D+9.4
20222022_Gov-G_FLGov-G2022-10-261,117R+10.0R+19.4D+9.4
20222022_House-G_USHouse-G2022-10-241,114D+4.0R+2.7D+6.7
20222022_Sen-G_PASen-G2022-10-231,084D+2.0D+4.9R+2.9
20222022_Gov-G_TXGov-G2022-10-231,200R+13.0R+10.9R+2.1
20222022_Gov-G_PAGov-G2022-10-231,084D+9.0D+14.8R+5.8
20222022_Gov-G_MAGov-G2022-10-23700D+28.0D+29.1R+1.1
20222022_Sen-G_PASen-G2022-10-19850D+5.7D+4.9D+0.8
20222022_Gov-G_TXGov-G2022-10-19817R+7.0R+10.9D+3.9
20222022_Gov-G_PAGov-G2022-10-19850D+15.0D+14.8D+0.2
20222022_Gov-G_NYGov-G2022-10-19796D+13.0D+6.4D+6.6
20222022_Gov-G_FLGov-G2022-10-19832R+10.0R+19.4D+9.4
20222022_Gov-G_CAGov-G2022-10-19860D+19.0D+18.4D+0.6
20222022_House-G_USHouse-G2022-10-181,000D+3.0R+2.7D+5.7
20202020_Pres-G_USPres-G2020-11-011,363D+10.0D+4.5D+5.5
20202020_House-G_USHouse-G2020-11-011,363D+10.0D+3.0D+7.0
20202020_Pres-G_USPres-G2020-10-311,360D+10.0D+4.5D+5.5
20202020_House-G_USHouse-G2020-10-311,360D+9.0D+3.0D+6.0
20202020_Pres-G_USPres-G2020-10-261,365D+11.0D+4.5D+6.5
20202020_House-G_USHouse-G2020-10-261,365D+10.0D+3.0D+7.0

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.