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Pollster file

YouGov

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
447
Mean absolute error
4.60percentage points
Historical bias
D+1.01
Represented cycles
142004–2025
Current archive
514canonical records
History span
Oct 12, 2004through Oct 28, 2025
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
CBS News/YouGov · CES/YouGov · Rose Institute/YouGov · The Economist/YouGov · University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov · YouGov/Cooperative Election Study · YouGov/The Economist
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025

447 eligible historical polls across 14 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 514 total

Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +7

Dem 50% · Rep 43%

Field dates
Oct 19–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
1,312 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +9

Dem 52% · Rep 43%

Field dates
Oct 19–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
1,179 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +5

Dem 45% · Rep 40%

Field dates
Oct 19–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
1,496 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Donalds +8

Would not vote 0% · Someone else 1% · Don't know 7% · David Jolly 42% · Byron Donalds 50%

Field dates
Oct 2–Oct 15, 2026
Sample
825 RV
Sponsor / client
Univision
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Healey +25

Don't know 3% · Someone else 2% · Andrea James 6% · Mike Minogue 32% · Maura Healey 57%

Field dates
Oct 5–Oct 12, 2026
Sample
800 RV
Sponsor / client
UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Markey +27

Don't know 4% · Someone else 2% · Joe Tache 3% · Shiva Ayyadurai 6% · John Deaton 29% · Ed Markey 56%

Field dates
Oct 5–Oct 12, 2026
Sample
800 RV
Sponsor / client
UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cooper +9

Would not vote 4% · Michael Dublin 1% · Shannon Bray 2% · Roy Cooper 51% · Michael Whatley 42%

Field dates
Sep 29–Oct 8, 2026
Sample
676 RV
Sponsor / client
Elon University
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cooper +15

Would not vote 6% · Michael Dublin 1% · Shannon Bray 2% · Roy Cooper 53% · Michael Whatley 38%

Field dates
Sep 29–Oct 8, 2026
Sample
747 A
Sponsor / client
Elon University
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cooper +11

Would not vote 1% · Michael Dublin 1% · Shannon Bray 2% · Roy Cooper 54% · Michael Whatley 43%

Field dates
Sep 29–Oct 8, 2026
Sample
560 LV
Sponsor / client
Elon University
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 447 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2025VA · GovernorGov-G2025-10-28—D+15.0D+15.4R+0.4
2025NJ · GovernorGov-G2025-10-28—D+10.0D+14.4R+4.4
2024WI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—D+3.5R+0.9D+4.4
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—D+2.0R+1.7D+3.7
2024NV · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—D+1.0R+3.1D+4.1
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—R+0.5R+3.2D+2.7
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—D+3.0R+1.4D+4.4
2024GA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—R+2.0R+2.2D+0.2
2024AZ · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—R+1.0R+5.5D+4.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-29—D+2.0R+1.5D+3.5
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-28—0R+1.7D+1.7
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+2.5R+1.5D+4.0
2024WI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+5.0R+0.9D+5.9
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+3.0R+1.7D+4.7
2024NV · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+9.0R+3.1D+12.1
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+1.0R+3.2D+4.2
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—D+7.0R+1.4D+8.4
2024GA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—R+1.0R+2.2D+1.2
2024AZ · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—0R+5.5D+5.5
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-24—D+4.0R+1.4D+5.4
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-23—D+1.0R+1.7D+2.7
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-23—R+2.0R+3.2D+1.2
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-22—D+3.0R+1.5D+4.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-21—D+3.0R+1.5D+4.5
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-17—D+2.0R+1.7D+3.7
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-15—D+4.0R+1.5D+5.5
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-11-051,071R+1.0R+2.7D+1.7
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-311,1010R+2.7D+2.7
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-291,172D+2.0R+2.7D+4.7
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-271,899R+2.0R+2.7D+0.7
2022FL · SenateSen-G2022-10-261,117R+7.0R+16.4D+9.4
2022FL · GovernorGov-G2022-10-261,117R+10.0R+19.4D+9.4
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-241,114D+4.0R+2.7D+6.7
2022PA · SenateSen-G2022-10-231,084D+2.0D+4.9R+2.9
2022TX · GovernorGov-G2022-10-231,200R+13.0R+10.9R+2.1
2022PA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-231,084D+9.0D+14.8R+5.8
2022MA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-23700D+28.0D+29.1R+1.1
2022PA · SenateSen-G2022-10-19850D+5.7D+4.9D+0.8
2022TX · GovernorGov-G2022-10-19817R+7.0R+10.9D+3.9
2022PA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-19850D+15.0D+14.8D+0.2
2022NY · GovernorGov-G2022-10-19796D+13.0D+6.4D+6.6
2022FL · GovernorGov-G2022-10-19832R+10.0R+19.4D+9.4
2022CA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-19860D+19.0D+18.4D+0.6
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-181,000D+3.0R+2.7D+5.7
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-11-011,363D+10.0D+4.5D+5.5
2020national · HouseHouse-G2020-11-011,363D+10.0D+3.0D+7.0
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-10-311,360D+10.0D+4.5D+5.5
2020national · HouseHouse-G2020-10-311,360D+9.0D+3.0D+6.0
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-10-261,365D+11.0D+4.5D+6.5
2020national · HouseHouse-G2020-10-261,365D+10.0D+3.0D+7.0

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.