Call
the Map
FORECAST10 DAYS OUT
← Pollster performanceFilter the Full Poll Archive →
Pollster file

Targoz Market Research

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
24
Mean absolute error
5.92percentage points
Historical bias
D+1.49
Represented cycles
52018–2022
Current archive
46canonical records
History span
Oct 30, 2018through Nov 4, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
No additional reviewed aliases
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2018 · 2019 · 2020 · 2021 · 2022

24 eligible historical polls across 5 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 46 total

Moody +12

Angie Nixon 38% · Ashley Moody 50%

Field dates
Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Sample
1,200 RV
Sponsor / client
The James Madison Institute
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Donalds +10

David Jolly 42% · Byron Donalds 52%

Field dates
Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Sample
857 LV
Sponsor / client
The James Madison Institute
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Donalds +9

David Jolly 39% · Byron Donalds 48%

Field dates
Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Sample
1,200 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Moody +10

Angie Nixon 42% · Ashley Moody 52%

Field dates
Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Sample
857 LV
Sponsor / client
The James Madison Institute
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Moody +10

Don't know 4% · Someone else 2% · Angie Nixon 42% · Ashley Moody 52%

Field dates
Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Sample
847 LV
Sponsor / client
James Madison Institute
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Moody +12

Don't know 8% · Someone else 4% · Angie Nixon 38% · Ashley Moody 50%

Field dates
Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Sample
1,171 RV
Sponsor / client
James Madison Institute
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Donalds +9

Don't know 8% · Someone else 5% · David Jolly 39% · Byron Donalds 48%

Field dates
Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Sample
1,174 RV
Sponsor / client
James Madison Institute
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Donalds +10

Don't know 3% · Someone else 3% · David Jolly 42% · Byron Donalds 52%

Field dates
Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Sample
849 LV
Sponsor / client
James Madison Institute
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Blackburn +13

Don't know 14% · Generic Candidate 8% · Jerri Green 33% · Marsha Blackburn 46%

Field dates
Aug 15–Aug 26, 2026
Sample
1,149 RV
Sponsor / client
Beacon Center
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Hagerty +20

Don't know 12% · Generic Candidate 6% · Marquita Bradshaw 31% · Bill Hagerty 51%

Field dates
Aug 15–Aug 26, 2026
Sample
1,157 RV
Sponsor / client
Beacon Center
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Blackburn +21

Don't know 4% · Generic Candidate 7% · Jerri Green 34% · Marsha Blackburn 55%

Field dates
Aug 15–Aug 26, 2026
Sample
601 LV
Sponsor / client
Beacon Center
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Hagerty +25

Don't know 4% · Generic Candidate 5% · Marquita Bradshaw 33% · Bill Hagerty 58%

Field dates
Aug 15–Aug 26, 2026
Sample
607 LV
Sponsor / client
Beacon Center
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

24 shown · 24 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2022PA · SenateSen-G2022-11-04631R+5.0D+4.9R+9.9
2022OH · SenateSen-G2022-11-04505R+7.0R+6.1R+0.9
2022GA · SenateSen-G2022-11-04579R+2.0D+1.0R+3.0
2022AZ · SenateSen-G2022-11-04560D+3.0D+4.9R+1.9
2022PA · GovernorGov-G2022-11-04631D+6.0D+14.8R+8.8
2022OH · GovernorGov-G2022-11-04505R+30.0R+25.0R+5.0
2022GA · GovernorGov-G2022-11-04579R+14.0R+7.5R+6.5
2022AZ · GovernorGov-G2022-11-04560R+2.0D+0.7R+2.7
2021VA · GovernorGov-G2021-10-29747D+3.0R+1.9D+4.9
2020GA · SenateSen-G2021-01-01713D+2.0D+2.1R+0.1
2020GA · SenateSen-G2021-01-017130D+1.2R+1.2
2020MN · SenateSen-G2020-10-281,138D+9.0D+5.2D+3.8
2020MI · SenateSen-G2020-10-28993D+11.0D+1.7D+9.3
2020PA · PresidentPres-G2020-10-28998D+14.0D+1.2D+12.8
2020MN · PresidentPres-G2020-10-281,138D+9.0D+7.1D+1.9
2020MI · PresidentPres-G2020-10-28993D+14.0D+2.8D+11.2
2020FL · PresidentPres-G2020-10-281,027D+3.7R+3.4D+7.1
2019LA · GovernorGov-G2019-11-10640D+4.0D+2.7D+1.3
2019MS · GovernorGov-G2019-10-17384R+1.0R+5.1D+4.1
2019KY · GovernorGov-G2019-10-17401D+19.0D+0.4D+18.6
2018TN · SenateSen-G2018-10-304800R+10.8D+10.8
2018FL · SenateSen-G2018-10-30558R+4.0R+0.1R+3.9
2018TN · GovernorGov-G2018-10-30480R+9.0R+21.0D+12.0
2018FL · GovernorGov-G2018-10-30558R+1.0R+0.4R+0.6

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.