Call
the Map
FORECAST10 DAYS OUT
← Pollster performanceFilter the Full Poll Archive →
Pollster file

Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
47
Mean absolute error
5.22percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.52
Represented cycles
102006–2024
Current archive
8canonical records
History span
Oct 22, 2006through Oct 31, 2024
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Susquehanna Polling & Research · Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) · Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc.
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024

47 eligible historical polls across 10 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

8 shown · 8 total

Stelson +3

Don't know 4% · Someone else 1% · Janelle Stelson 49% · Scott Perry 46%

Field dates
Oct 5–Oct 11, 2026
Sample
300 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Shapiro +21

Don't know 17% · Stacy Garrity 31% · Josh Shapiro 52%

Field dates
Sep 22–Sep 30, 2026
Sample
700 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
El-Sayed +7

Don't know 11% · Someone else 4% · Mike Rogers 39% · Abdul El-Sayed 46%

Field dates
Aug 11–Aug 17, 2026
Sample
800 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Shapiro +22

Don't know 5% · Stacy Garrity 36% · Josh Shapiro 58%

Field dates
Mar 18–Mar 29, 2026
Sample
700 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Shapiro +18

Don't know 9% · Stacy Garrity 36% · Josh Shapiro 54%

Field dates
Sep 22–Sep 28, 2025
Sample
700 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Shapiro +18

Don't know 7% · Douglas V. Mastriano 37% · Josh Shapiro 55%

Field dates
Sep 22–Sep 28, 2025
Sample
704 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary

Michigan · Governor

James +28

John James 38% · Perry Johnson 10% · Aric Nesbitt 3%

Field dates
Jun 14, 2026
Sample
175 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary

Michigan · Senate

El-Sayed +2

Abdul El-Sayed 22% · Haley Stevens 20%

Field dates
Jun 14, 2026
Sample
205 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

47 shown · 47 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2024NV · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—R+6.0R+3.1R+2.9
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-27—D+5.0R+1.4D+6.4
2022PA · SenateSen-G2022-10-30700R+1.0D+4.9R+5.9
2022PA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-30700D+13.6D+14.8R+1.2
2022NV · SenateSen-G2022-10-26500R+5.6D+0.8R+6.4
2022NV · GovernorGov-G2022-10-26500R+1.2R+1.5D+0.3
2020PA · PresidentPres-G2020-11-02499R+0.8D+1.2R+2.0
2020FL · PresidentPres-G2020-10-31400R+1.0R+3.4D+2.4
2020WI · PresidentPres-G2020-10-30450D+3.0D+0.6D+2.4
2020FL · PresidentPres-G2020-10-24400R+4.5R+3.4R+1.1
2020AZ · SenateSen-G2020-10-21500R+3.0D+2.4R+5.3
2020AZ · PresidentPres-G2020-10-21500R+0.4D+0.3R+0.7
2020WI · PresidentPres-G2020-10-185000D+0.6R+0.6
2018PA-16 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-30405D+4.0R+4.3D+8.3
2018PA-8 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-29446D+17.0D+9.3D+7.7
2018PA-13 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-26303R+21.0R+41.0D+20.0
2018PA-9 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-24271R+21.0R+19.5R+1.5
2018PA-11 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-22311R+4.0R+17.9D+13.9
2018PA-10 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-20366R+3.0R+2.6R+0.4
2016PA · SenateSen-G2016-11-01681D+6.0R+1.4D+7.4
2016PA · PresidentPres-G2016-11-01681D+2.0R+0.7D+2.7
2014SC · SenateSen-G2014-10-17917R+20.0R+15.5R+4.5
2014SC · SenateSen-G2014-10-17917R+27.0R+22.1R+4.8
2014SC · GovernorGov-G2014-10-17917R+20.0R+14.5R+5.5
2012PA · SenateSen-G2012-10-30800D+1.0D+9.1R+8.1
2012PA · PresidentPres-G2012-10-308000D+5.4R+5.4
2012FL · SenateSen-G2012-10-231,001D+5.0D+13.0R+8.0
2012FL · PresidentPres-G2012-10-231,001R+5.0D+0.9R+5.9
2012FL-22 · HouseHouse-G2012-10-177500D+9.3R+9.3
2012FL-18 · HouseHouse-G2012-10-17752R+1.0D+0.6R+1.6
2010FL · GovernorGov-G2010-11-011,526R+4.0R+1.1R+2.9
2010FL · GovernorGov-G2010-10-301,527D+3.0R+1.1D+4.2
2010PA · SenateSen-G2010-10-26800R+2.0R+2.0D+0.0
2010FL-25 · HouseHouse-G2010-10-26700R+1.0R+9.6D+8.6
2010PA · GovernorGov-G2010-10-26800R+7.0R+9.0D+2.0
2010FL · GovernorGov-G2010-10-251,547R+2.0R+1.1R+0.8
2010FL-8 · HouseHouse-G2010-10-24801R+7.0R+17.9D+10.9
2010PA-17 · HouseHouse-G2010-10-20600D+30.0D+11.0D+19.0
2010FL · GovernorGov-G2010-10-201,5140R+1.1D+1.1
2010FL-22 · HouseHouse-G2010-10-18800R+3.0R+8.7D+5.7
2010PA-4 · HouseHouse-G2010-10-17400D+12.0D+1.6D+10.4
2010FL-2 · HouseHouse-G2010-10-16830R+12.0R+12.3D+0.3
2010FL · GovernorGov-G2010-10-132,000D+3.0R+1.1D+4.2
2010PA-12 · HouseHouse-G2010-05-10400D+6.0D+7.7R+1.6
2008PA-12 · HouseHouse-G2008-10-21400D+5.0D+15.7R+10.7
2008PA · PresidentPres-G2008-10-17700D+8.0D+10.3R+2.3
2006PA-4 · HouseHouse-G2006-10-22400R+4.0D+3.9R+7.9

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.