Someone else 1.7% · Don't know 1.6% · Brian Bengs 37.3% · Mike Rounds 59.4%
- Field dates
- Oct 17–Oct 19, 2026
- Sample
- 657 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Quantus Insights
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 8
- Mean absolute error
- 6.38percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+2.32
- Represented cycles
- 22024–2025
- Current archive
- 101canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 2024through Nov 3, 2025
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Quantus Insights (R)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2024 · 2025
8 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 101 total
Race
Alme +16.2Montana · Senate
Someone else 0.4% · Don't know 1.5% · Kyle Austin 1.8% · Alani Bankhead 21.2% · Seth Bodnar 29.4% · Kurt Alme 45.6%
- Field dates
- Oct 15–Oct 18, 2026
- Sample
- 667 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Ossoff +7.3Georgia · Senate
Don't know 2% · Mike Collins 45.4% · Jon Ossoff 52.7%
- Field dates
- Oct 15–Oct 17, 2026
- Sample
- 755 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Someone else 0.7% · Don't know 2.8% · Keisha Lance Bottoms 47.5% · Rick Jackson 49%
- Field dates
- Oct 15–Oct 17, 2026
- Sample
- 755 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +19.5Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 39.6% · Disapprove 59.1%
- Field dates
- Sep 15–Sep 18, 2026
- Sample
- 1,389 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +8.6Generic ballot
Dem 50.3% · Rep 41.7%
- Field dates
- Sep 15–Sep 18, 2026
- Sample
- 1,389 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Paxton +0.5Texas · Senate
Ted Brown 2.2% · Don't know 3.9% · James Talarico 46.7% · Ken Paxton 47.2%
- Field dates
- Oct 9–Oct 11, 2026
- Sample
- 854 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate
Sullivan +0.6Alaska · Senate
Mary Peltola 47.2% · Dan Sullivan 47.8%
- Field dates
- Sep 28–Sep 30, 2026
- Sample
- 758 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate
Brown +0.5Ohio · Senate
Sherrod Brown 47.8% · Jon Husted 47.3%
- Field dates
- Sep 21–Sep 23, 2026
- Sample
- 695 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Alme +19.2Montana · Senate
Someone else 1.7% · Don't know 2.4% · Alani Bankhead 24.4% · Seth Bodnar 26.1% · Kurt Alme 45.3%
- Field dates
- Sep 14–Sep 15, 2026
- Sample
- 625 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Collins +0.2Maine · Senate
Someone else 1.5% · Don't know 3.5% · Troy Jackson 47.4% · Susan Collins 47.6%
- Field dates
- Sep 14–Sep 15, 2026
- Sample
- 621 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Timothy Long 0.3% · Lydia Christensen 0.8% · Douglas Marsh 0.7% · Don't know 2.7% · Mike Rogers 47.2% · Abdul El-Sayed 48.4%
- Field dates
- Oct 5–Oct 6, 2026
- Sample
- 744 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
8 shown · 8 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | VA · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-11-03 | — | D+9.0 | D+15.4 | R+6.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Attorney general | AG-G | 2025-11-03 | — | 0 | D+6.7 | R+6.7 |
| 2025 | NJ · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-27 | — | D+3.0 | D+14.4 | R+11.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-20 | — | D+5.0 | D+15.4 | R+10.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Attorney general | AG-G | 2025-10-20 | — | R+7.0 | D+6.7 | R+13.7 |
| 2024 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-29 | — | 0 | R+0.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2024 | MI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-28 | — | 0 | R+1.4 | D+1.4 |
| 2024 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-17 | — | R+2.0 | R+1.7 | R+0.3 |
3 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.