Race
Paxton +2Texas · Senate
Someone else 4% · Don't know 7% · James Talarico 43% · Ken Paxton 45%
- Field dates
- Jun 3–Jun 4, 2026
- Sample
- 800 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Quantus Insights
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 8
- Mean absolute error
- 6.38percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+2.32
- Represented cycles
- 22024–2025
- Current archive
- 97canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 2024through Nov 3, 2025
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Quantus Insights (R)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2024 · 2025
8 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 97 total
Race
Abbott +8Texas · Governor
Someone else 3% · Don't know 6% · Gina Hinojosa 41% · Greg Abbott 49%
- Field dates
- Jun 3–Jun 4, 2026
- Sample
- 800 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +4.7Generic ballot
Dem 47% · Rep 42.3%
- Field dates
- Jun 1–Jun 2, 2026
- Sample
- 894 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Tafoya +43Minnesota · Senate
Adam Schwarze 4% · Michele Tafoya 52% · Tom Weiler 2% · Royce White 9%
- Field dates
- May 9, 2026
- Sample
- 663 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Someone else 1.9% · Don't know 5.7% · Michael Whatley 43.8% · Roy Cooper 48.6%
- Field dates
- Mar 31–Apr 1, 2026
- Sample
- 987 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +5.7Generic ballot
Dem 47% · Rep 41.3%
- Field dates
- Mar 25–Mar 26, 2026
- Sample
- 1,472 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +5Generic ballot
Dem 46.7% · Rep 41.7%
- Field dates
- Mar 17–Mar 18, 2026
- Sample
- 1,064 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Husted +1.1Ohio · Senate
Someone else 3.6% · Don't know 6.5% · Jon Husted 45.5% · Sherrod Brown 44.4%
- Field dates
- Mar 13–Mar 14, 2026
- Sample
- 784 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Acton +1Ohio · Governor
Someone else 3.3% · Don't know 5.9% · Vivek Ramaswamy 44.9% · Amy Acton 45.9%
- Field dates
- Mar 13–Mar 14, 2026
- Sample
- 809 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Collins +1.6Maine · Senate
Would not vote 1.1% · Don't know 5.6% · Someone else 5.6% · Janet Mills 43% · Susan Collins 44.6%
- Field dates
- Mar 3–Mar 5, 2026
- Sample
- 800 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Platner +6.8Maine · Senate
Would not vote 0.9% · Someone else 2.9% · Don't know 5.9% · Susan Collins 41.8% · Graham Platner 48.6%
- Field dates
- Mar 3–Mar 5, 2026
- Sample
- 800 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +4.9Generic ballot
Dem 45.7% · Rep 40.8%
- Field dates
- Mar 2–Mar 3, 2026
- Sample
- 1,295 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
8 shown · 8 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | VA · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-11-03 | — | D+9.0 | D+15.4 | R+6.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Attorney general | AG-G | 2025-11-03 | — | 0 | D+6.7 | R+6.7 |
| 2025 | NJ · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-27 | — | D+3.0 | D+14.4 | R+11.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-20 | — | D+5.0 | D+15.4 | R+10.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Attorney general | AG-G | 2025-10-20 | — | R+7.0 | D+6.7 | R+13.7 |
| 2024 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-29 | — | 0 | R+0.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2024 | MI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-28 | — | 0 | R+1.4 | D+1.4 |
| 2024 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-17 | — | R+2.0 | R+1.7 | R+0.3 |
3 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.