Race
Gross +20.8HOU-FL-02
Don't know 1% · Brice Barnes 39.1% · Keith Gross 59.9%
- Field dates
- Jul 22–Jul 26, 2026
- Sample
- 922 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Pollster file
Patriot Polling
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 16
- Mean absolute error
- 3.20percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.91
- Represented cycles
- 22022–2024
- Current archive
- 8canonical records
- History span
- Oct 22, 2022through Nov 3, 2024
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Patriot Polling (R)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2022 · 2024
16 eligible historical polls across 2 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
8 shown · 8 total
Race
Gross +19.4HOU-FL-02
Don't know 2.4% · Nicholas Zateslo 39.1% · Keith Gross 58.5%
- Field dates
- Jul 22–Jul 26, 2026
- Sample
- 922 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Race
Gross +23.8HOU-FL-02
Don't know 2% · Amanda Green 37.1% · Keith Gross 60.9%
- Field dates
- Jul 22–Jul 26, 2026
- Sample
- 922 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Race
Gross +27.1HOU-FL-02
Don't know 2.7% · Yen Bailey 35.1% · Keith Gross 62.2%
- Field dates
- Jul 22–Jul 26, 2026
- Sample
- 922 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Don't know 12% · Francesca Hong 42% · Tom Tiffany 46%
- Field dates
- Mar 10–Mar 16, 2026
- Sample
- 812 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Donalds +14Florida · Governor
Byron Donalds 37% · James Fishback 23%
- Field dates
- Jan 29, 2026
- Sample
- 827 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Primary · R primary
Gross +2FL-02 · House
Keith Gross 34% · Evan Power 32%
- Field dates
- Jan 24, 2026
- Sample
- 812 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Governor
Tiffany +4Wisconsin · Governor
Francesca Hong 42% · Tom Tiffany 46%
- Field dates
- Mar 10–Mar 16, 2026
- Sample
- 812 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
16 shown · 16 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | national · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-03 | — | D+1.0 | R+1.5 | D+2.5 |
| 2024 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-03 | — | 0 | R+0.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2024 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-03 | — | R+1.0 | R+1.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2024 | NV · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-03 | — | R+1.0 | R+3.1 | D+2.1 |
| 2024 | NC · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-03 | — | R+2.0 | R+3.2 | D+1.2 |
| 2024 | MI · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-03 | — | 0 | R+1.4 | D+1.4 |
| 2024 | GA · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-03 | — | R+1.0 | R+2.2 | D+1.2 |
| 2024 | AZ · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-03 | — | R+3.0 | R+5.5 | D+2.5 |
| 2024 | MI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-26 | — | R+1.0 | R+1.4 | D+0.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-GR_GA | Sen-G | 2022-12-01 | 818 | D+1.7 | D+2.8 | R+1.1 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_PA | Sen-G | 2022-11-04 | 846 | R+3.3 | D+4.9 | R+8.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_PA | Gov-G | 2022-11-04 | 846 | D+6.5 | D+14.8 | R+8.3 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_NY | Gov-G | 2022-11-02 | 826 | D+5.1 | D+6.4 | R+1.3 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_AZ | Sen-G | 2022-11-01 | 814 | D+0.7 | D+4.9 | R+4.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2022-10-22 | 801 | R+8.4 | R+1.0 | R+7.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_WI | Gov-G | 2022-10-22 | 801 | R+4.4 | D+3.4 | R+7.8 |
1 further row is held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (NYC-G). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.