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Pollster file

Emerson College

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
230
Mean absolute error
4.19percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.37
Represented cycles
112013–2025
Current archive
141canonical records
History span
Jun 20, 2013through Oct 31, 2025
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Emerson · Emerson College (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2019 · 2020 · 2021 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025

230 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 141 total

Klobuchar +21.9

Amy Klobuchar 52.8% · Mike Lindell 30.9%

Field dates
Feb 6–Feb 8, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Klobuchar +13.4

Amy Klobuchar 51.1% · Lisa Demuth 37.7%

Field dates
Feb 6–Feb 8, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Flanagan +6.5

Peggy Flanagan 47.1% · Michele Tafoya 40.6%

Field dates
Feb 6–Feb 8, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Craig +6.4

Angie Craig 46.6% · Michele Tafoya 40.2%

Field dates
Feb 6–Feb 8, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Stevens +5.7

Haley Stevens 47.3% · Mike Rogers 41.6%

Field dates
Jan 24–Jan 25, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Rogers +0.3

Abdul El-Sayed 42.5% · Mike Rogers 42.8%

Field dates
Jan 24–Jan 25, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
McMorrow +3.1

Mallory McMorrow 45.7% · Mike Rogers 42.6%

Field dates
Jan 24–Jan 25, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +6.4

Dem 48.1% · Rep 41.7%

Field dates
Jan 17–Jan 19, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +8.1

Approve 43.2% · Disapprove 51.3%

Field dates
Jan 17–Jan 19, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Abbott +7.9

Greg Abbott 50.2% · Gina Hinojosa 42.3%

Field dates
Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026
Sample
1,165 RV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar Media
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate · D primary

Texas · Senate

Talarico +9.4

Jasmine Crockett 37.6% · James Talarico 47%

Field dates
Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026
Sample
413 RV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar Media
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cornyn +2.8

John Cornyn 46.9% · James Talarico 44.1%

Field dates
Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026
Sample
1,165 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

30 shown · 230 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20162016_Pres-G_WIPres-G2016-10-28400D+6.0R+0.8D+6.8
20162016_Sen-G_OHSen-G2016-10-27800R+14.0R+20.9D+6.9
20162016_Sen-G_NVSen-G2016-10-27550R+4.0D+2.5R+6.5
20162016_Sen-G_NCSen-G2016-10-27650R+4.0R+5.7D+1.7
20162016_Sen-G_FLSen-G2016-10-27500R+2.0R+7.7D+5.7
20162016_Pres-G_OHPres-G2016-10-278000R+8.1D+8.1
20162016_Pres-G_NVPres-G2016-10-27550D+2.0D+2.5R+0.5
20162016_Pres-G_NCPres-G2016-10-27650D+3.0R+3.7D+6.7
20162016_Pres-G_FLPres-G2016-10-27500D+1.0R+1.2D+2.2
20162016_Sen-G_PASen-G2016-10-26550D+2.0R+1.4D+3.4
20162016_Pres-G_PAPres-G2016-10-26550D+5.0R+0.7D+5.7
20162016_Pres-G_MIPres-G2016-10-26500D+7.0R+0.2D+7.2
20162016_Sen-G_NHSen-G2016-10-24600R+6.0D+0.1R+6.1
20162016_Pres-G_NHPres-G2016-10-24600D+3.0D+0.4D+2.6
20162016_Sen-G_IDSen-G2016-10-221,023R+33.0R+38.4D+5.4
20162016_Pres-G_IDPres-G2016-10-221,023R+29.0R+31.8D+2.8
20162016_Sen-G_PASen-G2016-10-18800R+3.2R+1.4R+1.8
20162016_Sen-G_NHSen-G2016-10-18900R+0.1D+0.1R+0.2
20162016_Sen-G_MOSen-G2016-10-18600D+0.4R+2.8D+3.2
20162016_Pres-G_UTPres-G2016-10-18700R+2.6R+18.1D+15.5
20162016_Pres-G_PAPres-G2016-10-18800D+4.0R+0.7D+4.7
20162016_Pres-G_NHPres-G2016-10-18900D+8.0D+0.4D+7.6
20162016_Pres-G_MOPres-G2016-10-18600R+8.0R+18.6D+10.6
20142014_House-G_MA-9House-G2014-10-28410D+5.0D+10.0R+5.0
20142014_House-G_MA-6House-G2014-10-28400R+2.0D+13.8R+15.8
20142014_Gov-G_MAGov-G2014-10-28627R+6.0R+1.9R+4.1
20142014_House-G_MA-9House-G2014-10-18302D+3.0D+10.0R+7.0
20142014_House-G_MA-6House-G2014-10-14400R+3.0D+13.8R+16.8
20132013_Gov-G_VAGov-G2013-10-28874D+2.0D+2.5R+0.5
20132013_Sen-GS_MASen-G2013-06-201,422D+10.0D+10.2R+0.2

5 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (NYC-G · Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.