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Pollster file

Emerson College

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
230
Mean absolute error
4.19percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.37
Represented cycles
112013–2025
Current archive
141canonical records
History span
Jun 20, 2013through Oct 31, 2025
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Emerson · Emerson College (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2019 · 2020 · 2021 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025

230 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 141 total

Governor

GOV-NJ

Sherrill +2

Mikie Sherrill 50.4% · Jack Ciattarelli 48.4%

Field dates
Oct 25–Oct 28, 2025
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
The Hill,WPIX
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +3

Approve 45.3% · Disapprove 48.3%

Field dates
Oct 13–Oct 14, 2025
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +1.4

Dem 43.9% · Rep 42.5%

Field dates
Oct 13–Oct 14, 2025
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor

GOV-VA

Spanberger +9.9

Abigail Spanberger 51.9% · Winsome Earle-Sears 42%

Field dates
Sep 28–Sep 29, 2025
Sample
725 LV
Sponsor / client
The Hill
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor

GOV-NJ

Sherrill +0.4

Mikie Sherrill 43.3% · Jack Ciattarelli 42.9%

Field dates
Sep 22–Sep 23, 2025
Sample
935 LV
Sponsor / client
WPIX,The Hill
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +0.3

Dem 43.3% · Rep 43%

Field dates
Aug 25–Aug 26, 2025
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +2.6

Approve 44.7% · Disapprove 47.3%

Field dates
Aug 25–Aug 26, 2025
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Ramaswamy +9.3

Vivek Ramaswamy 48.7% · Amy Acton 39.4%

Field dates
Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Husted +5.8

Sherrod Brown 43.7% · Jon Husted 49.5%

Field dates
Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate · D primary

Texas · Senate

Allred +54

Colin Allred 58% · Emily Morgul 4% · Valoree Swanson 3% · Terry Virts 1%

Field dates
Aug 11–Aug 12, 2025
Sample
370 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cooper +5.3

Michael Whatley 41.4% · Roy Cooper 46.7%

Field dates
Jul 28–Jul 30, 2025
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

30 shown · 230 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20162016_Pres-G_WIPres-G2016-10-28400D+6.0R+0.8D+6.8
20162016_Sen-G_OHSen-G2016-10-27800R+14.0R+20.9D+6.9
20162016_Sen-G_NVSen-G2016-10-27550R+4.0D+2.5R+6.5
20162016_Sen-G_NCSen-G2016-10-27650R+4.0R+5.7D+1.7
20162016_Sen-G_FLSen-G2016-10-27500R+2.0R+7.7D+5.7
20162016_Pres-G_OHPres-G2016-10-278000R+8.1D+8.1
20162016_Pres-G_NVPres-G2016-10-27550D+2.0D+2.5R+0.5
20162016_Pres-G_NCPres-G2016-10-27650D+3.0R+3.7D+6.7
20162016_Pres-G_FLPres-G2016-10-27500D+1.0R+1.2D+2.2
20162016_Sen-G_PASen-G2016-10-26550D+2.0R+1.4D+3.4
20162016_Pres-G_PAPres-G2016-10-26550D+5.0R+0.7D+5.7
20162016_Pres-G_MIPres-G2016-10-26500D+7.0R+0.2D+7.2
20162016_Sen-G_NHSen-G2016-10-24600R+6.0D+0.1R+6.1
20162016_Pres-G_NHPres-G2016-10-24600D+3.0D+0.4D+2.6
20162016_Sen-G_IDSen-G2016-10-221,023R+33.0R+38.4D+5.4
20162016_Pres-G_IDPres-G2016-10-221,023R+29.0R+31.8D+2.8
20162016_Sen-G_PASen-G2016-10-18800R+3.2R+1.4R+1.8
20162016_Sen-G_NHSen-G2016-10-18900R+0.1D+0.1R+0.2
20162016_Sen-G_MOSen-G2016-10-18600D+0.4R+2.8D+3.2
20162016_Pres-G_UTPres-G2016-10-18700R+2.6R+18.1D+15.5
20162016_Pres-G_PAPres-G2016-10-18800D+4.0R+0.7D+4.7
20162016_Pres-G_NHPres-G2016-10-18900D+8.0D+0.4D+7.6
20162016_Pres-G_MOPres-G2016-10-18600R+8.0R+18.6D+10.6
20142014_House-G_MA-9House-G2014-10-28410D+5.0D+10.0R+5.0
20142014_House-G_MA-6House-G2014-10-28400R+2.0D+13.8R+15.8
20142014_Gov-G_MAGov-G2014-10-28627R+6.0R+1.9R+4.1
20142014_House-G_MA-9House-G2014-10-18302D+3.0D+10.0R+7.0
20142014_House-G_MA-6House-G2014-10-14400R+3.0D+13.8R+16.8
20132013_Gov-G_VAGov-G2013-10-28874D+2.0D+2.5R+0.5
20132013_Sen-GS_MASen-G2013-06-201,422D+10.0D+10.2R+0.2

5 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (NYC-G · Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.