Generic ballot
Rep +1Generic ballot
Dem 46% · Rep 47%
- Field dates
- Aug 14–Aug 18, 2025
- Sample
- 1,057 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Echelon Insights
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 15
- Mean absolute error
- 2.75percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.79
- Represented cycles
- 52020–2025
- Current archive
- 82canonical records
- History span
- Oct 18, 2020through Oct 31, 2025
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2020 · 2021 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025
15 eligible historical polls across 5 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 82 total
Approval
Disapprove +17Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 41% · Disapprove 58%
- Field dates
- Jun 18–Jun 22, 2026
- Sample
- 1,003 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +6Generic ballot
Dem 51% · Rep 45%
- Field dates
- Jun 18–Jun 22, 2026
- Sample
- 1,003 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +6Generic ballot
Dem 50% · Rep 44%
- Field dates
- Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026
- Sample
- 1,012 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +19Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 40% · Disapprove 59%
- Field dates
- Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026
- Sample
- 1,012 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +19Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 40% · Disapprove 59%
- Field dates
- May 14–May 18, 2026
- Sample
- 1,008 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +8Generic ballot
Dem 51% · Rep 43%
- Field dates
- May 14–May 18, 2026
- Sample
- 1,008 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +6Generic ballot
Dem 50% · Rep 44%
- Field dates
- Apr 17–Apr 20, 2026
- Sample
- 1,012 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +16Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 41% · Disapprove 57%
- Field dates
- Apr 17–Apr 20, 2026
- Sample
- 1,012 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor
Donalds +6Florida · Governor
Byron Donalds 49% · David Jolly 43%
- Field dates
- Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026
- Sample
- 406 LV
- Sponsor / client
- NetChoice
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor
Sand +12Iowa · Governor
Rob Sand 51% · Zach Lahn 39%
- Field dates
- Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026
- Sample
- 377 LV
- Sponsor / client
- NetChoice
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate
Ossoff +9Georgia · Senate
Jon Ossoff 52% · Buddy Carter 43%
- Field dates
- Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026
- Sample
- 407 LV
- Sponsor / client
- NetChoice
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
15 shown · 15 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | VA · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-31 | — | D+12.0 | D+15.4 | R+3.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Attorney general | AG-G | 2025-10-31 | — | R+3.0 | D+6.7 | R+9.7 |
| 2024 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-30 | — | 0 | R+0.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2024 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-30 | — | R+5.5 | R+1.7 | R+3.8 |
| 2024 | MI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-30 | — | 0 | R+1.4 | D+1.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2022-11-01 | 500 | R+5.5 | D+1.0 | R+6.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_GA | Gov-G | 2022-11-01 | 500 | R+8.0 | R+7.5 | R+0.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_NV | Sen-G | 2022-10-25 | 500 | R+1.0 | D+0.8 | R+1.8 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_US | House-G | 2022-10-25 | 1,014 | D+2.0 | R+2.7 | D+4.7 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_NV | Gov-G | 2022-10-25 | 500 | R+1.5 | R+1.5 | D+0.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_PA | Sen-G | 2022-10-19 | 500 | D+3.0 | D+4.9 | R+1.9 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_PA | Gov-G | 2022-10-19 | 500 | D+12.0 | D+14.8 | R+2.8 |
| 2021 | 2021_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2021-10-28 | 611 | R+3.0 | R+1.9 | R+1.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2020-10-18 | 1,006 | D+6.5 | D+4.5 | D+2.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_US | House-G | 2020-10-18 | 1,006 | D+4.0 | D+3.0 | D+1.0 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.