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Pollster file

University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
5
Mean absolute error
4.65percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.41
Represented cycles
32018–2022
Current archive
15canonical records
History span
Oct 22, 2018through Oct 21, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
University of Texas at Tyler · UT Tyler
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2018 · 2020 · 2022

5 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 15 total

Abbott +8

Don't know 10% · Gina Hinojosa 41% · Greg Abbott 49%

Field dates
Feb 13–Feb 22, 2026
Sample
1,117 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Abbott +12

Don't know 11% · Chris Bell 39% · Greg Abbott 51%

Field dates
Feb 13–Feb 22, 2026
Sample
1,117 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Paxton +1

Don't know 16% · Someone else 8% · James Talarico 37% · Ken Paxton 38%

Field dates
Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
Sample
1,032 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Talarico +1

Don't know 21% · Someone else 6% · James Talarico 37% · Wesley Hunt 36%

Field dates
Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
Sample
1,032 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cornyn +6

Don't know 14% · Someone else 7% · John Cornyn 43% · Colin Allred 37%

Field dates
Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
Sample
1,032 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Hunt +1

Don't know 20% · Someone else 6% · Colin Allred 37% · Wesley Hunt 38%

Field dates
Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
Sample
1,032 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Allred +3

Don't know 14% · Someone else 8% · Ken Paxton 38% · Colin Allred 41%

Field dates
Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
Sample
1,031 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cornyn +6

Don't know 18% · Someone else 7% · James Talarico 35% · John Cornyn 41%

Field dates
Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
Sample
1,031 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate · D primary

Texas · Senate

Crockett +18

Jasmine Crockett 55% · James Talarico 37% · Ahmad Hassan 4%

Field dates
Feb 13–Feb 22, 2026
Sample
959 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Abbott +12

Chris Bell 39% · Greg Abbott 51%

Field dates
Feb 13–Feb 22, 2026
Sample
1,117 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Abbott +8

Greg Abbott 49% · Gina Hinojosa 41%

Field dates
Feb 13–Feb 22, 2026
Sample
1,117 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate · D primary

Texas · Senate

Crockett +22

Jasmine Crockett 56% · James Talarico 34% · Ahmad Hassan 7%

Field dates
Feb 13–Feb 22, 2026
Sample
1,117 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

5 shown · 5 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20222022_Gov-G_TXGov-G2022-10-21973R+6.0R+10.9D+4.9
20202020_Sen-G_TXSen-G2020-10-17925R+8.0R+9.6D+1.6
20202020_Pres-G_TXPres-G2020-10-17925D+3.0R+5.6D+8.6
20182018_Sen-G_TXSen-G2018-10-22905R+3.6R+2.6R+1.0
20182018_Gov-G_TXGov-G2018-10-221,033R+20.4R+13.3R+7.1

3 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.